Who's going to run is 2024, and who's going to win?

schuylaar

Well-Known Member
https://www.newsweek.com/trump-odds-2024-election-rally-1777841

bookies have trump winning nomination, but desantis winning the election. they have Biden beating trump handily, but not desantis.

https://www.racetothewh.com/president/polls
Nice aggregate of polls.

https://www.politico.com/news/2024-elections
News about possible 24 candidates and issues

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2022/12/13/trump-support-gop-2024-presidential-race-poll/10882346002/
Doesn't look good for trump

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/voters-want-out-old-new-president-candidates-2024-election-poll
Doesn't look good for trump OR Biden

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/dec/14/desantis-trump-2024-republican-presidential-poll
Doesn't look good for trump or America...

https://www.cnn.com/2022/12/14/politics/biden-trump-2024-poll/index.html
Doesn't look good for trump OR Biden, again.

https://www.umass.edu/news/article/new-national-umass-amherst-poll-finds-ron-desantis-neck-and-neck-donald-trump
Has desantis and trump tied for nomination

Polls aren't the most useful metric for predicting anything, really, but they're all we have at the moment that is even slightly better than wild speculation.
It's my considered opinion that IF the democrats don't start a huge advertising campaign very soon, that no matter how much good they do between now and Nov. 24, they may not do so well. They have a chance right now to get billboards up, not only pointing out that Biden lowered gas prices, that democrats helped women retain at least some of their rights, that Biden tried to help students, but was blocked by republicans...but also billboards and ads running that tell you not only exactly what republican in general want to do, but what the specific republicans in targeted areas want to do...that is worth pouring many millions into, and I'd get started NOW.
keep democratic victories fresh in their minds, and republican defeats and crimes.
Of course, this is all contingent upon whether or not the DOJ actually ever charges any republicans for being the seditious low life criminal fucks they are...
If trump, greene, boebert, gosar, biggs, brooks, and goemert get indicted, it will be a seriously damaging and damning blow to the party. If they get convicted, it will change the face of politics...the magats will crawl back into the woodwork, and start plotting again.
It's going to be Mr.Toads Wild Ride on steroids. I don't even want to look at this until later- too many things will occur to change the trajectory and looks right now (to me) like a jigsaw puzzle with the pieces scattered.
 

Roger A. Shrubber

Well-Known Member
And which party exactly do you see a "Cheney/Kissinger ticket" belonging to, which was the basis of my comment?

Also, the two party system has changed and evolved over the course of our history, and I refuse to accept that my only choice is to pick the lesser of two evils.
it's not your only choice..you can do nothing...or you can pick the lesser of two evils.
of course, one of the two evils is a LOT lesser than the other. It really shouldn't be a hard choice to make.
A. ignore both sides and hope they go away while your head is in the sand.
B. support the party that is trying to take rights away from everyone who doesn't think, act, look, and talk like them.
C. support the party that occasionally does something unpalatable, while trying to make the country a better place for all of the people in it.
seems like a pretty easy decision to make.
 

schuylaar

Well-Known Member
And which party exactly do you see a "Cheney/Kissinger ticket" belonging to, which was the basis of my comment?

Also, the two party system has changed and evolved over the course of our history, and I refuse to accept that my only choice is to pick the lesser of two evils.
Peej..they are not the lesser of two evils..you had a say in this Left or Right to get a nominee. So far you have Trump, Haley and DeSantis (when Trump has a line through his name) DeSantis is willing to go far above and beyond Trump. I remember his campaign vids. .5% margin win>>Team Gillum turned into 1.5% alchemy win DeSantis. Don't say gay, Critical Race Theory..boy, I'm so glad he's gotten down to the meat and bone of kitchen table issues!

How could you not want this guy?

Those old fucks at The Villages can't die soon enough..they wrecked Florida.
 

schuylaar

Well-Known Member
it's not your only choice..you can do nothing...or you can pick the lesser of two evils.
of course, one of the two evils is a LOT lesser than the other. It really shouldn't be a hard choice to make.
A. ignore both sides and hope they go away while your head is in the sand.
B. support the party that is trying to take rights away from everyone who doesn't think, act, look, and talk like them.
C. support the party that occasionally does something unpalatable, while trying to make the country a better place for all of the people in it.
seems like a pretty easy decision to make.
Not only that if you're in a Rightie Caucus state you get to choose over and over until you get one over 50%..they do it in a gymnasium for ease of re-seating after your loser choice.
 

schuylaar

Well-Known Member
And which party exactly do you see a "Cheney/Kissinger ticket" belonging to, which was the basis of my comment?

Also, the two party system has changed and evolved over the course of our history, and I refuse to accept that my only choice is to pick the lesser of two evils.
Yes and what exactly happened to the party after John Adams' death and Federalist?

The low tax, small government model is not popular unless you consider the Supremes' stripping of rights, popular gamesmanship of the Right.

Voters hate your ideas and force feeding them to us while we're handcuffed behind our backs makes us hate the element even more. <Schuylaar spits it back out>.

Noticed they're set to 'can't we be friends' in my neck of the woods.
 
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PJ Diaz

Well-Known Member
it's not your only choice..you can do nothing...or you can pick the lesser of two evils.
of course, one of the two evils is a LOT lesser than the other. It really shouldn't be a hard choice to make.
A. ignore both sides and hope they go away while your head is in the sand.
B. support the party that is trying to take rights away from everyone who doesn't think, act, look, and talk like them.
C. support the party that occasionally does something unpalatable, while trying to make the country a better place for all of the people in it.
seems like a pretty easy decision to make.
I will take option D, and (assuming that there is no candidate which I consider viable produced by either of the major parties) will vote for a third party or Independent candidate. Sure, you might consider it a "useless vote", but I see it to be no more wasted than any other sort of historical political protest, which took a long time to accomplish. Was Rosa Parks' refusal to sit in the back of the bus in 1955 a useless act, simply because the Civil Rights Act wasn't passed until nearly a decade later? Change takes time, and bigger changes take longer. Changing the lesser of the two evils system won't change in the next election cycle or two, but it may make progress. If everyone accepts stagnation into the two-party system, there will never be some other options. So, if anything you should be thanking me for cracking the doors open, rather than villainizing me for my rejection to support the lesser of two evils.
 

Roger A. Shrubber

Well-Known Member
Was Rosa Parks' refusal to sit in the back of the bus in 1955 a useless act, simply because the Civil Rights Act wasn't passed until nearly a decade later?
You put yourself in some pretty heady company....
You not voting is in no way analogous to Rosa Parks refusing to be treated like property any longer.
And yes, it is a useless act, in fact, it's worse than useless. If there clearly is a better, or even a "less worse" choice, then not taking that choice is failing to do damage control that was well within your means to do, and abrogates your "right" to complain about a situation...
 

schuylaar

Well-Known Member
I will take option D, and (assuming that there is no candidate which I consider viable produced by either of the major parties) will vote for a third party or Independent candidate. Sure, you might consider it a "useless vote", but I see it to be no more wasted than any other sort of historical political protest, which took a long time to accomplish. Was Rosa Parks' refusal to sit in the back of the bus in 1955 a useless act, simply because the Civil Rights Act wasn't passed until nearly a decade later? Change takes time, and bigger changes take longer. Changing the lesser of the two evils system won't change in the next election cycle or two, but it may make progress. If everyone accepts stagnation into the two-party system, there will never be some other options. So, if anything you should be thanking me for cracking the doors open, rather than villainizing me for my rejection to support the lesser of two evils.
Rosa Parks was a huge activist and organizer..that one act on the bus was one of many. Learn her history. She was able to shine a light on Segregation by way of opportunity and careful planning.

I feel if we had Sanders that actually might have been possible- Democratic Socialist Party..we've been pulled so far Right..GOP is not Ronnie's party any more. I'm not understanding where you fall. Libertarian? Is my guess.

I don't see anyone villianizing you..we have strong opinion and so do you. That's why we're here with the rest of these fine people, bots. It's our passion and we are The New Framers now..Silents and Boomers are dying..we got the takeover..late 50s early 60s we need to be involved our vote is a huge block of people and we're our own lobby.

I thank you for cracking doors..it gives me good exercise..if you don't use it, you lose it:hug:
 

PJ Diaz

Well-Known Member
I feel if we had Sanders that actually might have been possible- Democratic Socialist Party..we've been pulled so far Right..GOP is not Ronnie's party any more. I'm not understanding where you fall. Libertarian? Is my guess.
I don't fall squarely into any of your defined parties. While I certainly empathize with many Libertarian principles, I definitely do not identify as one. I believe in social services too much to consider myself in the Libertarian camp. While I also support many aspects of Socialism, I also think that there's a point where it goes too far, and veers into an authoritarian lane, which is where the Dems seem to be now. I think that some of the fiscal ideas of conservatives make sense, they tend to take it too far, and are generally hypocritical in terms of their budgetary process; of course there's also the big issue of general xenophobia and 'isms ingrained withing the GOP, which I can not tolerate. If I was to identify with any party it would likely be either the Peace & Freedom Party or Green Party, but they need an intelligent charismatic leader to move one of those parties forward in a viable way. Honestly I don't think that would be too hard, if the right person was to lead the party. I'm not sure who that would be, and of course both the Dims and Repugs would combine forces to schmear that person out of existence however possible.
 

PJ Diaz

Well-Known Member
You put yourself in some pretty heady company....
You not voting is in no way analogous to Rosa Parks refusing to be treated like property any longer.
And yes, it is a useless act, in fact, it's worse than useless. If there clearly is a better, or even a "less worse" choice, then not taking that choice is failing to do damage control that was well within your means to do, and abrogates your "right" to complain about a situation...
I didn't say "not voting", I said voting third party. You still seem to think that we are stuck with only two options.
 

Fogdog

Well-Known Member
Peej..they are not the lesser of two evils..you had a say in this Left or Right to get a nominee. So far you have Trump, Haley and DeSantis (when Trump has a line through his name) DeSantis is willing to go far above and beyond Trump. I remember his campaign vids. .5% margin win>>Team Gillum turned into 1.5% alchemy win DeSantis. Don't say gay, Critical Race Theory..boy, I'm so glad he's gotten down to the meat and bone of kitchen table issues!

How could you not want this guy?

Those old fucks at The Villages can't die soon enough..they wrecked Florida.
As a young man, my dad left Florida and told me he felt that two thousand miles was a comfortable distance.
 
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