I think first heavy blow Trump will feel is being disqualified in December, that will completely change the political landscape before 2024 even begins. Donald will attack the courts and the republican nominee, who will have "stolen" the nomination from him, fuck the courts and fuck the constitution! We can only hope he starts a write "Trump in on the ballot campaign" to prove that he is too big to jail or screw out of the nomination. Remember he believes he owns the base of the GOP and any attempt to take it from him or control of the party will be a threat. The base of morons and miscreants he has at his command are all he has left, or soon will be when NY is done cleaning him out. He will go down in court during the republican primaries and he might endorse some candidates too, before going to prison in April or May. I doubt Chutkan will let him out pending sentencing or appeal after he is found guilty, unless she wants to destroy the GOP!
He should be disqualified from running long before being locked up and with any luck his TV trial in Georgia might be just before election season in 24. I can't imagine Trump not disqualified and winning the GOP primaries, the GOP would be finished with Trump as the nominee. So would the SCOTUS if they didn't disqualify him by the general election at least, if a secretary of state dug their heels in over the 14th the SCOTUS would be on very shaky ground if they demanded a vote in the house and senate for reinstatement after they disqualified Trump in their state, as per the 14th of the constitution.
BREAKING: MAGA goes full panic mode as Donald Trump suffers a huge defeat, losing the first of his attempts to throw out a historic lawsuit that seeks to block him from the 2024 presidential ballot in Colorado.
This could have HUGE implications for the election...
The lawsuit was brought by the watchdog group CREW and convincingly argues that Trump cannot be allowed on the ballot because the 14th Amendment explicitly prohibits insurrectionists from holding office.
Trump clearly engaged in insurrection on January 6th. One need only look at the footage of his speech before the attack and review his actions for the rest of the day to see that.
Colorado District Judge Sarah Wallace rejected Trump's desperate attempt to get the lawsuit dismissed on free-speech grounds. In her 22-page ruling, she said that she wasn't convinced by Trump's argument—
"The Court has no difficulty concluding that it is to the benefit of the general public that, regardless of political affiliation, only constitutionally qualified candidates are placed on the ballot," she wrote.
She went on to say that figuring out Trump’s eligibility is crucial because he wants "the highest office in the country" and "the disqualification sought is based on allegations of insurrection against the very government over which the candidate seeks to preside."
Trump and his supporters now have to hold out hope that one of his several pending challenges against the case succeed. Supporters of democracy must hope for the opposite.
A trial to determine whether or not Trump should be eligible for the ballot is set for October 30th, assuming it isn't foolishly dismissed before then. The hard deadline to resolve the issue is January 5th, because that's when the ballot processing begins for the March 5th Republican primary.
What do you think? Should Trump be one the ballot?