We're +14 here and nary a Cory Gardner ad..this dude is sunk. if i mail and the ballot is not received at their offices, the Ballot Tracker will tell me..it's actually more of an issue for me to get over there. this needs to be as drama free as possible and i trust the system with the Ballot Tracker. Coloradans tell me it's new this year and they're happy to have the state take trumpys threats seriously.
What has Trump done to this country?
- Thread starter Jimdamick
- Start date
'i don't really care; do you?'
until you live up to your own words, we won't be talking..i'm just playing your game; enjoy the silence.
CunningCanuk
Well-Known Member
Feel buttar now?
i have a feeling he's going to be the buttar jokes for quite some time to come.
Fogdog
Well-Known Member
Thank you for confirming my opinion on the inability of your kind to engage in human adult discourse.
DIY-HP-LED
Well-Known Member
It has already begun, the public discussion of Donald's legal reckoning, this is Donald's biggest concern, he can't resign and walk away, the white house is his sanctuary house. If he wasn't president he would be doing 3 x the sentence that Michael Cohen got right now. As it is he might be doing state time while he awaits his federal trials and sentencing, Donald will be in a hurry to do federal time and might cop to everything and rat everybody out in the process. He will try to blame those in the WH who carried his water and supported him for everything, it was all their fault and there will be many throats cut and backs stabbed. If Joe wins a decisive victory in November there will be a stampede of Donald's assholes creating traffic jambs at prosecutors doors, the Devil take the hindmost.
Wanna see why Donald is so desperate?
www.cnn.com
The legal reckoning awaiting Donald Trump if he loses the election
New York (CNN)If things don't go Donald Trump's way on Election Day, the President may face more serious matters than how to pack up the West Wing.
Without some of the protections afforded him by the presidency, Trump will become vulnerable to multiple investigations looking into possible fraud in his financial business dealings as a private citizen -- both as an individual and through his company. He faces defamation lawsuits sparked by his denials of accusations made by women who have alleged he assaulted them, including E. Jean Carroll, the former magazine columnist who has accused him of rape. And then there are claims he corrupted the presidency for his personal profits.
As President, Trump has been able to block and delay several of these investigations and lawsuits -- including a yearlong fight over a subpoena for his tax returns -- in part because of his official position. Many of those matters have wound through the courts and will come to a head whether he is reelected or not.
But with the polls showing that Democratic rival Joe Biden is leading in the race, the stakes become much higher for Trump if he loses the election. A raft of legal issues, including a criminal investigation by New York prosecutors, will come into focus in the weeks after Election Day.
"In every regard, his leaving office makes it easier for prosecutors and plaintiffs in civil cases to pursue their cases against him," said Harry Sandick, a former federal prosecutor in the Manhattan US attorney's office. "For example, he is claiming a higher protection from subpoenas in the criminal cases and also in the congressional subpoena cases, [and that] is based largely on the fact that he is President."
Some have suggested a formal apparatus for investigating Trump after he leaves office. Rep. Eric Swalwell, a California Democrat, has floated the creation of a "Presidential Crimes Commission," made up of independent prosecutors who can examine "those who enabled a corrupt president," as he put it in an August tweet. "Example 1: Sabotaging the mail to win an election."
The most serious legal threat facing Trump is the Manhattan district attorney's broad criminal investigation into the financial workings of the Trump Organization. Prosecutors have suggested in court filings that the investigation could examine whether the President and his company engaged in bank fraud, insurance fraud, criminal tax fraud and falsification of business records.
In the course of that probe, Trump has challenged a subpoena to his accounting firm for eight years of tax returns and financial records. Five courts have ruled the subpoena is valid, and last week Trump faced the latest setback when a federal appellate court denied his appeal, ruling that the grand jury subpoena was not overly broad or issued in bad faith. On Tuesday, Trump's lawyers asked the Supreme Court to block the enforcement of the subpoena to allow it time to appeal to the court. Trump already lost an appeal to the highest court in July, when it ruled that the president is not immune from a state grand jury subpoena.
New York prosecutors have said the tax records, working papers and documentation around business transactions are crucial to their investigation, which has been underway for more than a year.
There are legal questions as to whether a state prosecutor could file charges against a sitting president.
"He's so powerful right now. They know that they can't indict him right now so there is an incentive to build their case and get ready. I think what happens if he loses and leaves office that things will move very quickly," said Jennifer Rodgers, a CNN legal analyst and former federal prosecutor.
Playing fast and loose with value of company assets
The New York attorney general is also proceeding with a separate civil investigation into the Trump Organization and whether it improperly inflated the value of certain assets in some instances and lowered them in others, in an effort to secure loans and obtain economic and tax benefits.
Investigators are looking into the tax breaks taken at the Trump Seven Springs property in Bedford, New York, and the Trump National Golf Club in Los Angeles. They are also investigating the valuation of a Trump office tower on Wall Street and the forgiveness of a more than $100 million loan on the Trump International Hotel and Tower in Chicago.
Eric Trump, executive vice president of the Trump Organization, sat remotely for a deposition with civil investigators last week. The lawyers are seeking additional depositions with Sheri Dillon, Trump's longtime tax lawyer.
Lawyers for the Trump Organization have said in court documents that they believe New York Attorney General Letitia James is politically motivated, and they initially tried to push off Eric Trump's deposition until after Election Day, but a judge rejected that request. The state lawyers, who have said they are not coordinating with any criminal law enforcement agency, said their investigation is civil in nature. But they could make a criminal referral if they believe there is enough evidence.
"With a big-time executive, when they do these multiple or hundreds of millions of dollar transactions, they're always advised by lawyers and accountants," said Dan Alonso, a former prosecutor with the Manhattan district attorney's office. "There are a lot of layers between messing up the tax treatment and criminal liability on the part of the President, that's a big leap."
Opening the floodgates to lawsuits
If Trump is not reelected, he will lose the deference that courts have given to sitting presidents, opening the floodgates for many lawsuits.
The state attorneys general of Washington, DC, and Maryland sued the President in 2017, alleging he corruptly profited off his position by placing his financial interests above those of American citizens.
The state investigators prepared more than 30 subpoenas, including to the Trump Organization, and others relating to the Trump businesses. Trump sued to block the lawsuit, which alleges he violated the emoluments clause of the Constitution by virtue of the hundreds of thousands of dollars that foreign governments and others have spent at his properties. Trump has appealed the ruling to the Supreme Court, which has not yet decided whether to hear the case. A second emoluments lawsuit brought by hotel and restaurant operators in New York is also pending.
more...
Wanna see why Donald is so desperate?
The legal reckoning awaiting Donald Trump if he loses the election
If things don't go Donald Trump's way on Election Day, the President may face more serious matters than how to pack up the West Wing.
www.cnn.com
The legal reckoning awaiting Donald Trump if he loses the election
New York (CNN)If things don't go Donald Trump's way on Election Day, the President may face more serious matters than how to pack up the West Wing.
Without some of the protections afforded him by the presidency, Trump will become vulnerable to multiple investigations looking into possible fraud in his financial business dealings as a private citizen -- both as an individual and through his company. He faces defamation lawsuits sparked by his denials of accusations made by women who have alleged he assaulted them, including E. Jean Carroll, the former magazine columnist who has accused him of rape. And then there are claims he corrupted the presidency for his personal profits.
As President, Trump has been able to block and delay several of these investigations and lawsuits -- including a yearlong fight over a subpoena for his tax returns -- in part because of his official position. Many of those matters have wound through the courts and will come to a head whether he is reelected or not.
But with the polls showing that Democratic rival Joe Biden is leading in the race, the stakes become much higher for Trump if he loses the election. A raft of legal issues, including a criminal investigation by New York prosecutors, will come into focus in the weeks after Election Day.
"In every regard, his leaving office makes it easier for prosecutors and plaintiffs in civil cases to pursue their cases against him," said Harry Sandick, a former federal prosecutor in the Manhattan US attorney's office. "For example, he is claiming a higher protection from subpoenas in the criminal cases and also in the congressional subpoena cases, [and that] is based largely on the fact that he is President."
Some have suggested a formal apparatus for investigating Trump after he leaves office. Rep. Eric Swalwell, a California Democrat, has floated the creation of a "Presidential Crimes Commission," made up of independent prosecutors who can examine "those who enabled a corrupt president," as he put it in an August tweet. "Example 1: Sabotaging the mail to win an election."
The most serious legal threat facing Trump is the Manhattan district attorney's broad criminal investigation into the financial workings of the Trump Organization. Prosecutors have suggested in court filings that the investigation could examine whether the President and his company engaged in bank fraud, insurance fraud, criminal tax fraud and falsification of business records.
In the course of that probe, Trump has challenged a subpoena to his accounting firm for eight years of tax returns and financial records. Five courts have ruled the subpoena is valid, and last week Trump faced the latest setback when a federal appellate court denied his appeal, ruling that the grand jury subpoena was not overly broad or issued in bad faith. On Tuesday, Trump's lawyers asked the Supreme Court to block the enforcement of the subpoena to allow it time to appeal to the court. Trump already lost an appeal to the highest court in July, when it ruled that the president is not immune from a state grand jury subpoena.
New York prosecutors have said the tax records, working papers and documentation around business transactions are crucial to their investigation, which has been underway for more than a year.
There are legal questions as to whether a state prosecutor could file charges against a sitting president.
"He's so powerful right now. They know that they can't indict him right now so there is an incentive to build their case and get ready. I think what happens if he loses and leaves office that things will move very quickly," said Jennifer Rodgers, a CNN legal analyst and former federal prosecutor.
Playing fast and loose with value of company assets
The New York attorney general is also proceeding with a separate civil investigation into the Trump Organization and whether it improperly inflated the value of certain assets in some instances and lowered them in others, in an effort to secure loans and obtain economic and tax benefits.
Investigators are looking into the tax breaks taken at the Trump Seven Springs property in Bedford, New York, and the Trump National Golf Club in Los Angeles. They are also investigating the valuation of a Trump office tower on Wall Street and the forgiveness of a more than $100 million loan on the Trump International Hotel and Tower in Chicago.
Eric Trump, executive vice president of the Trump Organization, sat remotely for a deposition with civil investigators last week. The lawyers are seeking additional depositions with Sheri Dillon, Trump's longtime tax lawyer.
Lawyers for the Trump Organization have said in court documents that they believe New York Attorney General Letitia James is politically motivated, and they initially tried to push off Eric Trump's deposition until after Election Day, but a judge rejected that request. The state lawyers, who have said they are not coordinating with any criminal law enforcement agency, said their investigation is civil in nature. But they could make a criminal referral if they believe there is enough evidence.
"With a big-time executive, when they do these multiple or hundreds of millions of dollar transactions, they're always advised by lawyers and accountants," said Dan Alonso, a former prosecutor with the Manhattan district attorney's office. "There are a lot of layers between messing up the tax treatment and criminal liability on the part of the President, that's a big leap."
Opening the floodgates to lawsuits
If Trump is not reelected, he will lose the deference that courts have given to sitting presidents, opening the floodgates for many lawsuits.
The state attorneys general of Washington, DC, and Maryland sued the President in 2017, alleging he corruptly profited off his position by placing his financial interests above those of American citizens.
The state investigators prepared more than 30 subpoenas, including to the Trump Organization, and others relating to the Trump businesses. Trump sued to block the lawsuit, which alleges he violated the emoluments clause of the Constitution by virtue of the hundreds of thousands of dollars that foreign governments and others have spent at his properties. Trump has appealed the ruling to the Supreme Court, which has not yet decided whether to hear the case. A second emoluments lawsuit brought by hotel and restaurant operators in New York is also pending.
more...
Sir Napsalot
Well-Known Member
Wrong- Oregon was the first state to go full mail-in voting, in 1995
and our ballots include prepaid postage this year
CunningCanuk
Well-Known Member
sadly none of his supporters read or venture far from Fox and trump tv..when visiting grandma 103, i tried to convert her but she's a silent and for some reason has this truly crazy hatred for rev al sharpton from last century..told me some really bizarre stuff that i had to change the subject. this was during Obama's 2nd term.It has already begun, the public discussion of Donald's legal reckoning, this is Donald's biggest concern, he can't resign and walk away, the white house is his sanctuary house. If he wasn't president he would be doing 3 x the sentence that Michael Cohen got right now. As it is he might be doing state time while he awaits his federal trials and sentencing, Donald will be in a hurry to do federal time and might cop to everything and rat everybody out in the process. He will try to blame those in the WH who carried his water and supported him for everything, it was all their fault and there will be many throats cut and backs stabbed. If Joe wins a decisive victory in November there will be a stampede of Donald's assholes creating traffic jambs at prosecutors doors, the Devil take the hindmost.
Wanna see why Donald is so desperate?
The legal reckoning awaiting Donald Trump if he loses the election
If things don't go Donald Trump's way on Election Day, the President may face more serious matters than how to pack up the West Wing.
The legal reckoning awaiting Donald Trump if he loses the election
New York (CNN)If things don't go Donald Trump's way on Election Day, the President may face more serious matters than how to pack up the West Wing.
Without some of the protections afforded him by the presidency, Trump will become vulnerable to multiple investigations looking into possible fraud in his financial business dealings as a private citizen -- both as an individual and through his company. He faces defamation lawsuits sparked by his denials of accusations made by women who have alleged he assaulted them, including E. Jean Carroll, the former magazine columnist who has accused him of rape. And then there are claims he corrupted the presidency for his personal profits.
As President, Trump has been able to block and delay several of these investigations and lawsuits -- including a yearlong fight over a subpoena for his tax returns -- in part because of his official position. Many of those matters have wound through the courts and will come to a head whether he is reelected or not.
But with the polls showing that Democratic rival Joe Biden is leading in the race, the stakes become much higher for Trump if he loses the election. A raft of legal issues, including a criminal investigation by New York prosecutors, will come into focus in the weeks after Election Day.
"In every regard, his leaving office makes it easier for prosecutors and plaintiffs in civil cases to pursue their cases against him," said Harry Sandick, a former federal prosecutor in the Manhattan US attorney's office. "For example, he is claiming a higher protection from subpoenas in the criminal cases and also in the congressional subpoena cases, [and that] is based largely on the fact that he is President."
Some have suggested a formal apparatus for investigating Trump after he leaves office. Rep. Eric Swalwell, a California Democrat, has floated the creation of a "Presidential Crimes Commission," made up of independent prosecutors who can examine "those who enabled a corrupt president," as he put it in an August tweet. "Example 1: Sabotaging the mail to win an election."
The most serious legal threat facing Trump is the Manhattan district attorney's broad criminal investigation into the financial workings of the Trump Organization. Prosecutors have suggested in court filings that the investigation could examine whether the President and his company engaged in bank fraud, insurance fraud, criminal tax fraud and falsification of business records.
In the course of that probe, Trump has challenged a subpoena to his accounting firm for eight years of tax returns and financial records. Five courts have ruled the subpoena is valid, and last week Trump faced the latest setback when a federal appellate court denied his appeal, ruling that the grand jury subpoena was not overly broad or issued in bad faith. On Tuesday, Trump's lawyers asked the Supreme Court to block the enforcement of the subpoena to allow it time to appeal to the court. Trump already lost an appeal to the highest court in July, when it ruled that the president is not immune from a state grand jury subpoena.
New York prosecutors have said the tax records, working papers and documentation around business transactions are crucial to their investigation, which has been underway for more than a year.
There are legal questions as to whether a state prosecutor could file charges against a sitting president.
"He's so powerful right now. They know that they can't indict him right now so there is an incentive to build their case and get ready. I think what happens if he loses and leaves office that things will move very quickly," said Jennifer Rodgers, a CNN legal analyst and former federal prosecutor.
Playing fast and loose with value of company assets
The New York attorney general is also proceeding with a separate civil investigation into the Trump Organization and whether it improperly inflated the value of certain assets in some instances and lowered them in others, in an effort to secure loans and obtain economic and tax benefits.
Investigators are looking into the tax breaks taken at the Trump Seven Springs property in Bedford, New York, and the Trump National Golf Club in Los Angeles. They are also investigating the valuation of a Trump office tower on Wall Street and the forgiveness of a more than $100 million loan on the Trump International Hotel and Tower in Chicago.
Eric Trump, executive vice president of the Trump Organization, sat remotely for a deposition with civil investigators last week. The lawyers are seeking additional depositions with Sheri Dillon, Trump's longtime tax lawyer.
Lawyers for the Trump Organization have said in court documents that they believe New York Attorney General Letitia James is politically motivated, and they initially tried to push off Eric Trump's deposition until after Election Day, but a judge rejected that request. The state lawyers, who have said they are not coordinating with any criminal law enforcement agency, said their investigation is civil in nature. But they could make a criminal referral if they believe there is enough evidence.
"With a big-time executive, when they do these multiple or hundreds of millions of dollar transactions, they're always advised by lawyers and accountants," said Dan Alonso, a former prosecutor with the Manhattan district attorney's office. "There are a lot of layers between messing up the tax treatment and criminal liability on the part of the President, that's a big leap."
Opening the floodgates to lawsuits
If Trump is not reelected, he will lose the deference that courts have given to sitting presidents, opening the floodgates for many lawsuits.
The state attorneys general of Washington, DC, and Maryland sued the President in 2017, alleging he corruptly profited off his position by placing his financial interests above those of American citizens.
The state investigators prepared more than 30 subpoenas, including to the Trump Organization, and others relating to the Trump businesses. Trump sued to block the lawsuit, which alleges he violated the emoluments clause of the Constitution by virtue of the hundreds of thousands of dollars that foreign governments and others have spent at his properties. Trump has appealed the ruling to the Supreme Court, which has not yet decided whether to hear the case. A second emoluments lawsuit brought by hotel and restaurant operators in New York is also pending.
more...
as for trump, he's got to leave some time- if he wrangles a 2nd term, he won't finish..there's no way he's going to wait until 12PM on 1/20, though. it's going to be a lame duck nightmare..that's when the real torture begins. the spoiled rotten child who will sabotage because if he can't have neither will anyone else.
he's going to leave us a Hellscape unless he's taken out of the process earlier.
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hanimmal
Well-Known Member
It would be interesting to swing by the drop box to see if your neighbor was just trying to discourage Democratic voters from using it.
thank you for pointing that out though i don't believe i said it was the first state..just the gold standard. based on articles i read about how other states are looking to Colorado.
Smooth Vote-by-Mail Elections in Colorado, Utah Provide Model for California | KQED
This week's vote-by-mail elections in Utah and Colorado provide a model for California, where officials are sending every voter a mail ballot in the fall.
DIY-HP-LED
Well-Known Member
Look who is heading for a life boat dressed as a woman as the Trumptanic begins it's death plunge. Moscow Mitch is hitting the Panic button and so is Donald, money buys votes fools! Too late methinks with 16 days to go until counting and accounting after that.. Money for Christmas folks, the economy might survive, a sign of their desperation, Mitch wanted to starve ya.
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www.nbcnews.com
Susan Del Percio : Senate pivots to Covid stimulus vote after McConnell misjudges Supreme Court push
It turns out not even a shiny Supreme Court supermajority can hide the problems Trump’s party has caused Americans.
By Susan Del Percio, Republican strategist and senior advisor to the Lincoln Project
Looks like Sen. Mitch McConnell got it wrong — again. And this time it could cost him the Senate majority.
Republicans initially thought that a fast appointment of a conservative justice would help them in battleground states. After all, nothing rallies the conservative base like a Supreme Court appointment. However, given the likelihood of confirmation, the Senate Judiciary Committee hearings to confirm Amy Coney Barrett turned out to be fairly uneventful and relatively drama-free. Most importantly for Democrats, they have not taken America’s focus off the coronavirus.
The reality on the ground is that the virus has not gone away, and there are spikes across the Midwest and elsewhere. Suddenly, McConnell is interested in passing some kind of Covid-19 relief package again. That the majority leader would realize the political importance of this pivot isn’t surprising. That the members of his own party aren’t pushing harder for it is.
Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., who recently tested positive for Covid-19, said he would wear “a moon suit” to the Senate so he could vote to confirm Barrett as a Supreme Court justice. It was a “joke” devoid of both humor and empathy.
Currently, Wisconsin is experiencing a spike in coronavirus cases, ranking fourth in the nation for new Covid-19 cases. According to seven-day averages from the Covid Tracking Project, hospitalizations and deaths have rapidly risen since September. To date, close to 170,000 people in Johnson’s home state have tested positive; over 1,500 have died. Johnson is not facing re-election this November, which may be why he appears to be turning a blind eye toward the crisis unfolding under his nose.
Among those who can’t turn away from the impact of Covid-19 is Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee. At one point he probably thought his outsized role in the Supreme Court nomination process would help push him over the top in a tough re-election fight. However, a recent Quinnipiac University poll has him tied with his opponent, former state Democratic Party chairman Jaime Harrison.
In fact, Graham is getting so concerned about re-election that he bucked away from the president. After President Donald Trump tweeted that he had ended negotiations on the Covid-19 relief package, Graham tweeted, "Time to come together to help America deal with COVID as we move toward a vaccine."
At one time it was mildly amusing and yet deeply disturbing to watch so many Republican senators contort themselves into pretzels trying to answer — or, more likely, avoid — questions about Trump’s unstable and unpatriotic behavior.
Now they find themselves having to explain why they have prioritized the confirmation of one Supreme Court justice over helping the millions who are suffering right now. Nearly 220,000 families are grieving the loss of loved ones. Over 30 million people have claimed unemployment benefits, and thousands of small businesses are struggling. An estimated 1 in 10 Americans live with food insecurity and, medical experts caution that a double whammy of seasonal flu and a second wave of the coronavirus could still be on the horizon.
more...
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Opinion | Republicans tried to distract America from Trump's Covid chaos. They failed.
It turns out not even a shiny Supreme Court supermajority can hide the problems Trump’s party has caused Americans.
Susan Del Percio : Senate pivots to Covid stimulus vote after McConnell misjudges Supreme Court push
It turns out not even a shiny Supreme Court supermajority can hide the problems Trump’s party has caused Americans.
By Susan Del Percio, Republican strategist and senior advisor to the Lincoln Project
Looks like Sen. Mitch McConnell got it wrong — again. And this time it could cost him the Senate majority.
Republicans initially thought that a fast appointment of a conservative justice would help them in battleground states. After all, nothing rallies the conservative base like a Supreme Court appointment. However, given the likelihood of confirmation, the Senate Judiciary Committee hearings to confirm Amy Coney Barrett turned out to be fairly uneventful and relatively drama-free. Most importantly for Democrats, they have not taken America’s focus off the coronavirus.
The reality on the ground is that the virus has not gone away, and there are spikes across the Midwest and elsewhere. Suddenly, McConnell is interested in passing some kind of Covid-19 relief package again. That the majority leader would realize the political importance of this pivot isn’t surprising. That the members of his own party aren’t pushing harder for it is.
Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., who recently tested positive for Covid-19, said he would wear “a moon suit” to the Senate so he could vote to confirm Barrett as a Supreme Court justice. It was a “joke” devoid of both humor and empathy.
Currently, Wisconsin is experiencing a spike in coronavirus cases, ranking fourth in the nation for new Covid-19 cases. According to seven-day averages from the Covid Tracking Project, hospitalizations and deaths have rapidly risen since September. To date, close to 170,000 people in Johnson’s home state have tested positive; over 1,500 have died. Johnson is not facing re-election this November, which may be why he appears to be turning a blind eye toward the crisis unfolding under his nose.
Among those who can’t turn away from the impact of Covid-19 is Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee. At one point he probably thought his outsized role in the Supreme Court nomination process would help push him over the top in a tough re-election fight. However, a recent Quinnipiac University poll has him tied with his opponent, former state Democratic Party chairman Jaime Harrison.
In fact, Graham is getting so concerned about re-election that he bucked away from the president. After President Donald Trump tweeted that he had ended negotiations on the Covid-19 relief package, Graham tweeted, "Time to come together to help America deal with COVID as we move toward a vaccine."
At one time it was mildly amusing and yet deeply disturbing to watch so many Republican senators contort themselves into pretzels trying to answer — or, more likely, avoid — questions about Trump’s unstable and unpatriotic behavior.
Now they find themselves having to explain why they have prioritized the confirmation of one Supreme Court justice over helping the millions who are suffering right now. Nearly 220,000 families are grieving the loss of loved ones. Over 30 million people have claimed unemployment benefits, and thousands of small businesses are struggling. An estimated 1 in 10 Americans live with food insecurity and, medical experts caution that a double whammy of seasonal flu and a second wave of the coronavirus could still be on the horizon.
more...
Last edited:
DIY-HP-LED
Well-Known Member
Georgia at a Tipping Point (Published 2020)
After several near misses, Democrats can taste victory in Georgia — and Republicans fear President Trump’s lackluster numbers may drag down the party’s Senate candidates with him.
Georgia at a Tipping Point
After several near misses, Democrats can taste victory in Georgia — and Republicans fear President Trump’s lackluster numbers may drag down the party’s Senate candidates with him.
When President Trump travels to Macon, Ga., tonight for a campaign rally, Republicans will be looking for him to keep more than his own electoral fortunes alive.
There is perhaps no other state in which Mr. Trump’s recent slide in the polls has the potential to do as much collateral damage. In addition to staring down what could be their first presidential defeat in Georgia since 1992, Republicans stand to lose not one but two Senate seats if things don’t break their way. In both Senate races, the Trump-aligned Republican candidates have slipped in recent polls.
Those immediate vulnerabilities are colliding with a slow burn of demographic change that has thrown this once firmly Republican state into play. White residents now make up fewer than three in five voters in Georgia, and a wave of migration to the Atlanta area over the past decade has added roughly three quarters of a million people to the state’s major Democratic stronghold.
Which helps explain why this week Joseph R. Biden Jr. was able to nose out ahead of Mr. Trump in a range of polling averages. Surging alongside him are Jon Ossoff and the Rev. Dr. Raphael Warnock, the Democratic candidates vying for the state’s two open Senate seats.
“One of the things I’m looking at is what we call the 30-30 rule,” said Trey Hood, a political scientist at the University of Georgia who directs its Survey Research Center. “Can a Democratic candidate get 30 percent of the white vote statewide, and do African-Americans constitute 30 percent of the electorate over all? If you can get to those levels as a Democrat, you’ve got a pretty good shot at winning.”
In 2016, Hillary Clinton came within five points of Mr. Trump in Georgia while winning only 21 percent of white voters, according to exit polls. But polling suggests Mr. Biden is likely to land closer to 30 percent among white voters.
The story doesn’t just play out along racial lines. Georgia’s electorate is growing younger, with 50 percent of its voting-eligible population now under the age of 45, according to the Census Bureau — ahead of the national average. And across racial lines, those younger voters trend more liberal, a fact that threatens to further shake up the longstanding electoral calculus.
And of the more than 300,000 new voters who registered in Georgia last year, a large majority were either nonwhite or below age 30.
The Senate races
Since the presidential debate on Sept. 29, high-quality polls have shown a range of outcomes in Georgia — from a slight Trump edge last week in the University of Georgia/Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll to a clear, seven-point Biden lead in a Quinnipiac University survey released on Wednesday. But over all, they have found Mr. Trump failing to match the strength of his 2016 support, particularly among white college graduates and older voters.
The effects are spilling over into the state’s two Senate races. In one, Mr. Ossoff, who narrowly lost a 2017 special election for a House seat in the Atlanta suburbs, is challenging Senator David Perdue. Mr. Ossoff led by six points in the Quinnipiac survey, although other recent polls, including the University of Georgia survey, have shown Mr. Perdue holding a sizable lead.
In the other, a wide-open race to fill the seat vacated by former Senator Johnny Isakson, it is a Democrat, Dr. Warnock, who consistently garners the most support in polls, although he is facing two powerful Republican candidates whose combined share generally exceeds his. If no candidate wins 50 percent of the vote in either Senate election — as appears particularly likely in the race for Mr. Isakson’s old seat — a runoff would be held in early January.
Like Mr. Perdue, both of the leading Republicans in the special election — Senator Kelly Loeffler, who was appointed to fill Mr. Isakson’s seat on an interim basis, and Representative Doug Collins — have hitched themselves firmly to Mr. Trump’s coattails, a gambit that has begun to look perilous as his favorability rating has dipped in a range of Georgia polls.
It’s possible Dr. Warnock could suffer the same fate that Mr. Ossoff did in the Sixth District election three years ago — nearly winning it outright, before suffering a narrow loss to a Republican in the runoff.
MickFoster
Well-Known Member
Georgia, So. Carolina, Ohio, and Iowa are so close that they could all come into play.
Five Thirty Eight has lowered the "traitor in chief's" chances down to 12%.
Five Thirty Eight has lowered the "traitor in chief's" chances down to 12%.
captainmorgan
Well-Known Member
Case of stupidity cured.
www.thesun.co.uk
Influencer, 33, who 'thought Covid didn't exist' dies after catching bug
A FITNESS influencer who thought Covid-19 didn’t exist has died at the age of 33 after contracting the virus on a trip to Turkey. Dmitriy Stuzhuk had been discharged from hospital in his nati…
www.thesun.co.uk
DIY-HP-LED
Well-Known Member
Trump's Final Campaign Strategy? Retweet Conspiracy Theories & Tout Rudy's Russian Disinformation
As Trump limps to the election finish line, all he has left is retweeting outrageous conspiracy theories and relying on absurd Rudy Giuliani claims about a mysterious-October-surprise-Hunter-Biden-laptop. At the town hall with Savannah Guthrie, Trump said he knows nothing about QAnon but blindly retweets QAnon posts anyway. Regarding the Biden laptop story, the Washington Post reporting is instructive regarding Rudy being "worked" by Russian intelligence sources.
As Trump limps to the election finish line, all he has left is retweeting outrageous conspiracy theories and relying on absurd Rudy Giuliani claims about a mysterious-October-surprise-Hunter-Biden-laptop. At the town hall with Savannah Guthrie, Trump said he knows nothing about QAnon but blindly retweets QAnon posts anyway. Regarding the Biden laptop story, the Washington Post reporting is instructive regarding Rudy being "worked" by Russian intelligence sources.
DIY-HP-LED
Well-Known Member
How Does Early Voting Affect The Forecast? And Other Listener Questions. l FiveThirtyEight
In this installment of Model Talk, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the current election forecasts and answer questions from listeners.
In this installment of Model Talk, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the current election forecasts and answer questions from listeners.
DIY-HP-LED
Well-Known Member
Rudy has a 100% chance of going to prison in 2021, unless he dies of covid and he has a pretty good chance of that too.
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www.thedailybeast.com
Rudy: Only ‘50/50’ Chance I Worked With a ‘Russian Spy’ to Dig Dirt on Bidens and Ukraine
DGAF MODE
In a wild interview, Giuliani defended his years-long mission to torpedo the Bidens by exposing their alleged misdeeds in Ukraine. And he doesn’t care who supplied the ammunition.
Rudy Giuliani thinks it’s hilarious.
He says the questions mounting around him—including those about whether his efforts to dump Hunter Biden’s documents and photos are part of some foreign election-interference operation—are “a bunch of bullshit.” He’s unconcerned about intelligence assessments that one of his former associates was a Russian agent, a proposition that he gave more or less even odds. In fact, Giuliani said, he has been “laughing my head off” about the whole affair.
Instead, the pugnacious former New York City mayor said he was on a mission to push out all the contents of a hard drive he allegedly obtained, that he claims belongs to the former vice president’s son—no matter how seemingly irrelevant others may say they are.
“I sleep with it at night,” Giuliani said of the hard drive, chortling. “It’s because I work late.”
Giuliani called The Daily Beast from New York City, the television blaring in the background, airing President Donald Trump’s rally at the Middle Georgia Regional Airport in Georgia. The president’s personal attorney said he recently made a private “gentleman's bet” with his client, who thought that U.S. media outlets would not report on the unveiling of Hunter Biden’s documents and photos, because of how protective the president believes the media is towards the Biden family. Giuliani, on the other hand, believed there was a good chance that mainstream outlets would pick up the story.
Giuliani now thinks he won that bet. “It made its way into the back of some papers,” he said.
Over the past week, Giuliani’s efforts have resulted primarily in a series of stories in the New York Post based on Hunter Biden’s emails, text messages, and documents, allegedly pulled from his laptop. The most politically substantive appeared to show that Hunter Biden had written an email to an adviser to the Ukrainian gas company, Burisma, to set up a meeting with his then vice president father. (“They never had a meeting,” Biden campaign spokesperson Andrew Bates said Friday.)
The Post reports came under immediate suspicion, in part because of longstanding concerns within the intelligence community that Giuliani’s attempts to peddle dirt about the Bidens was aligned with a broader Russian attempt to subvert the 2020 election. But despite those fears, the former mayor said he has been “laughing my head off” about the whole affair. The criticism against him, including questions about whether or not this is part of a foreign election-interference operation, he added, was just “a bunch of bullshit.”
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Rudy: Only ‘50/50’ Chance I Worked With a ‘Russian Spy’ to Dig Dirt on Bidens and Ukraine
In a wild interview, Giuliani defended his years-long mission to torpedo the Bidens by exposing their alleged misdeeds in Ukraine. And he doesn’t care who supplied the ammunition.
Rudy: Only ‘50/50’ Chance I Worked With a ‘Russian Spy’ to Dig Dirt on Bidens and Ukraine
DGAF MODE
In a wild interview, Giuliani defended his years-long mission to torpedo the Bidens by exposing their alleged misdeeds in Ukraine. And he doesn’t care who supplied the ammunition.
Rudy Giuliani thinks it’s hilarious.
He says the questions mounting around him—including those about whether his efforts to dump Hunter Biden’s documents and photos are part of some foreign election-interference operation—are “a bunch of bullshit.” He’s unconcerned about intelligence assessments that one of his former associates was a Russian agent, a proposition that he gave more or less even odds. In fact, Giuliani said, he has been “laughing my head off” about the whole affair.
Instead, the pugnacious former New York City mayor said he was on a mission to push out all the contents of a hard drive he allegedly obtained, that he claims belongs to the former vice president’s son—no matter how seemingly irrelevant others may say they are.
“I sleep with it at night,” Giuliani said of the hard drive, chortling. “It’s because I work late.”
Giuliani called The Daily Beast from New York City, the television blaring in the background, airing President Donald Trump’s rally at the Middle Georgia Regional Airport in Georgia. The president’s personal attorney said he recently made a private “gentleman's bet” with his client, who thought that U.S. media outlets would not report on the unveiling of Hunter Biden’s documents and photos, because of how protective the president believes the media is towards the Biden family. Giuliani, on the other hand, believed there was a good chance that mainstream outlets would pick up the story.
Giuliani now thinks he won that bet. “It made its way into the back of some papers,” he said.
Over the past week, Giuliani’s efforts have resulted primarily in a series of stories in the New York Post based on Hunter Biden’s emails, text messages, and documents, allegedly pulled from his laptop. The most politically substantive appeared to show that Hunter Biden had written an email to an adviser to the Ukrainian gas company, Burisma, to set up a meeting with his then vice president father. (“They never had a meeting,” Biden campaign spokesperson Andrew Bates said Friday.)
The Post reports came under immediate suspicion, in part because of longstanding concerns within the intelligence community that Giuliani’s attempts to peddle dirt about the Bidens was aligned with a broader Russian attempt to subvert the 2020 election. But despite those fears, the former mayor said he has been “laughing my head off” about the whole affair. The criticism against him, including questions about whether or not this is part of a foreign election-interference operation, he added, was just “a bunch of bullshit.”
more...
too little, too late.Look who is heading for a life boat dressed as a woman as the Trumptanic begins it's death plunge. Moscow Mitch is hitting the Panic button and so is Donald, money buys votes fools! Too late methinks with 16 days to go until counting and accounting after that.. Money for Christmas folks, the economy might survive, a sign of their desperation, Mitch wanted to starve ya.
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Opinion | Republicans tried to distract America from Trump's Covid chaos. They failed.
It turns out not even a shiny Supreme Court supermajority can hide the problems Trump’s party has caused Americans.
Susan Del Percio : Senate pivots to Covid stimulus vote after McConnell misjudges Supreme Court push
It turns out not even a shiny Supreme Court supermajority can hide the problems Trump’s party has caused Americans.
By Susan Del Percio, Republican strategist and senior advisor to the Lincoln Project
Looks like Sen. Mitch McConnell got it wrong — again. And this time it could cost him the Senate majority.
Republicans initially thought that a fast appointment of a conservative justice would help them in battleground states. After all, nothing rallies the conservative base like a Supreme Court appointment. However, given the likelihood of confirmation, the Senate Judiciary Committee hearings to confirm Amy Coney Barrett turned out to be fairly uneventful and relatively drama-free. Most importantly for Democrats, they have not taken America’s focus off the coronavirus.
The reality on the ground is that the virus has not gone away, and there are spikes across the Midwest and elsewhere. Suddenly, McConnell is interested in passing some kind of Covid-19 relief package again. That the majority leader would realize the political importance of this pivot isn’t surprising. That the members of his own party aren’t pushing harder for it is.
Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., who recently tested positive for Covid-19, said he would wear “a moon suit” to the Senate so he could vote to confirm Barrett as a Supreme Court justice. It was a “joke” devoid of both humor and empathy.
Currently, Wisconsin is experiencing a spike in coronavirus cases, ranking fourth in the nation for new Covid-19 cases. According to seven-day averages from the Covid Tracking Project, hospitalizations and deaths have rapidly risen since September. To date, close to 170,000 people in Johnson’s home state have tested positive; over 1,500 have died. Johnson is not facing re-election this November, which may be why he appears to be turning a blind eye toward the crisis unfolding under his nose.
Among those who can’t turn away from the impact of Covid-19 is Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee. At one point he probably thought his outsized role in the Supreme Court nomination process would help push him over the top in a tough re-election fight. However, a recent Quinnipiac University poll has him tied with his opponent, former state Democratic Party chairman Jaime Harrison.
In fact, Graham is getting so concerned about re-election that he bucked away from the president. After President Donald Trump tweeted that he had ended negotiations on the Covid-19 relief package, Graham tweeted, "Time to come together to help America deal with COVID as we move toward a vaccine."
At one time it was mildly amusing and yet deeply disturbing to watch so many Republican senators contort themselves into pretzels trying to answer — or, more likely, avoid — questions about Trump’s unstable and unpatriotic behavior.
Now they find themselves having to explain why they have prioritized the confirmation of one Supreme Court justice over helping the millions who are suffering right now. Nearly 220,000 families are grieving the loss of loved ones. Over 30 million people have claimed unemployment benefits, and thousands of small businesses are struggling. An estimated 1 in 10 Americans live with food insecurity and, medical experts caution that a double whammy of seasonal flu and a second wave of the coronavirus could still be on the horizon.
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has anyone noticed that Voldemort and McConnell has the same facial structure?
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