War

Ukraine now has more tanks than when it started the war!
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Gen. McCaffrey: Russia Has ‘Lost Command And Control’


Retired Four Star General Barry McCaffrey and former consultant to the FBI’s Counterterrorism Division Clint Watts discuss the Russian army struggling with logistics, communication, and resources.
 
If they can bring Venezuela and Iran on line it would help a lot, both are friendlier with the EU than America.
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Russia’s invasion of Ukraine leads to massive shift in energy trade relations | DW News


The United States and the European Union have announced a plan to reduce the bloc's reliance on Russian fossil fuels. Under the deal, the US will increase its liquified natural gas (LNG) exports to Europe by 15 billion cubic meters this year, the White House said. The initiative was unveiled by US President Joe Biden and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen.
 
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Friendly_Grower said:
Sounds like USA is laying their cards on the Table Face up and daring China to call the bet.
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Not just the USA, but others as well. Between the EU and the USA, China does ten times more trade than the $160 billion it does with Russia. Xi or other Chinese leaders must be drawing lessons from the Russian experience in Ukraine, Taiwan is a high tech and industrial power house that can make advanced weapons by the millions. Any Chinese invasion would be sunk at sea by shore launched anti ship missiles and God knows what else and their air force would be shot out of the sky before seeing the island with AA batteries. If they managed to get to the place, then the fun would begin, if you though Ukraine was something wait till they get ashore and get that tiger by the tail in urban warfare. China is a lot more sensitive to sanctions than Russia and heavily dependent of trade and foreign investment, they are a lot more integrated into the global system. I can use interact and paypal to buy stuff online directly from China at places like Bangood. The Chinese have grown as fast as possible the last few decades as part of the global system, they want to win by competing in this realm with trade and international agreements and don't want to fuck up a good thing.
 
'They bomb us because they can't beat us': Kharkiv civilians suffer as Russia runs out of options
The city of Kharkiv, Ukraine's second-largest, was a bustling metropolis just a month ago. Chic eateries and sleek shopping malls sat alongside elegant neo-baroque architecture in what had been a rapidly developing urban centre.

Now, large areas of the city resemble Stalingrad more than Stuttgart, as Kharkiv falls victim to what locals and experts say is a Russian strategy of targeting civilians.

 
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This would be bad for Vlad, he needs to sign a peace or Georgia and Belarus will be next, it works both ways. It's not up to Vlad as long he is on Ukrainian territory.
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www.businessinsider.com

Putin will soon have 'no choice' but to stop his invasion of Ukraine, former US general says

"Putin will have to halt his war in Ukraine sooner or later and probably in a matter of weeks," retired US Army Brig. Gen. Kevin Ryan told Insider.
www.businessinsider.com www.businessinsider.com

Putin will soon have 'no choice' but to stop his invasion of Ukraine, former US general says

  • Putin will likely be forced to stop his war against Ukraine, a retired US general told Insider.
  • It's "not because he wants to halt his military operation but because he has no choice," he said.
  • Putin "has basically reached the capacity of what his military can do for him in Ukraine," he added.
Ryan, a senior fellow at Harvard's Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, said he believed Ukraine would see "an increase in violence" by Russian forces "in the near future" until Putin was forced to halt his military operation.

Putin "can increase the violence and do more damage and destruction in Ukraine," Ryan said.

"He can try to find and encircle and destroy the Ukrainian military, which is smaller than his," he added. "But even if he does all of those things, he cannot strategically do much more with his military."

Ryan said: "They're out of troops, they're out of units, they are fully committed to doing just what they are now."

But he said an end to the war in Ukraine wouldn't "necessarily mean a halt in violence."

"Violence can continue even during the time of negotiations between the sides," Ryan said, adding that the halting of the invasion would likely be "indefinite" until Putin "gets enough concessions from Ukraine" and even from the West regarding the severe sanctions on Russia.

"So until he gets enough concessions," Ryan said of Putin, "I think he would want to stay in that kind of no man's land of a halted military operation — one that could be restarted at any time.

"That would be the threat."
 
www.theatlantic.com

Why Can’t the West Admit That Ukraine Is Winning?

America has become too accustomed to thinking of its side as stymied, ineffective, or incompetent.
www.theatlantic.com www.theatlantic.com

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So why can’t Western analysts admit as much? Most professional scholars of the Russian military first predicted a quick and decisive Russian victory; then argued that the Russians would pause, learn from their mistakes, and regroup; then concluded that the Russians would actually have performed much better if they had followed their doctrine; and now tend to mutter that everything can change, that the war is not over, and that the weight of numbers still favors Russia. Their analytic failure will be only one of the elements of this war worth studying in the future.
 
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Ukrainian Forces Use Drones To Hunt For Russian Columns West Of Kyiv



Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty

As Russian invasion continues, Makariv may be small in size, but it has big strategic value as it blocks Russia's armed forces from encircling Kyiv. Ukrainian volunteer fighters use drones in the area for reconnaissance that can be used by Ukrainian artillery units to strike back.
NOTE: At 01:31, the correspondent is misidentified. The name of RFE/RL correspondent is Levko Stek
 
DIY-HP-LED said:
Not just the USA, but others as well. Between the EU and the USA, China does ten times more trade than the $160 billion it does with Russia. Xi or other Chinese leaders must be drawing lessons from the Russian experience in Ukraine, Taiwan is a high tech and industrial power house that can make advanced weapons by the millions. Any Chinese invasion would be sunk at sea by shore launched anti ship missiles and God knows what else and their air force would be shot out of the sky before seeing the island with AA batteries. If they managed to get to the place, then the fun would begin, if you though Ukraine was something wait till they get ashore and get that tiger by the tail in urban warfare. China is a lot more sensitive to sanctions than Russia and heavily dependent of trade and foreign investment, they are a lot more integrated into the global system. I can use interact and paypal to buy stuff online directly from China at places like Bangood. The Chinese have grown as fast as possible the last few decades as part of the global system, they want to win by competing in this realm with trade and international agreements and don't want to fuck up a good thing.
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i would not count on any of that. Xi is a fascist asshole, but he's not stupid.
If and when he comes, it'll be hard and heavy, and fast. russia fucked up and cost themselves a lot, Xi won't make the same mistakes.
Taiwan isn't even 100 miles off shore from China. Xi would probably lead with targeted missile strikes on their defensive emplacements, some launched from the mainland, some from subs. in that chaos, he would call airstrikes, to cover his naval landing...which would be huge. If he decides to take Taiwan, i doubt anyone could do fuck all about it.
but as you say, that would not be in his best interest. he does a lot more business with the west and the EU than he does with russia, and he has to be seeing that most of the world now considers russia a pariah state, untouchable and unclean...he wouldn't want that same status for China, and wouldn't want to deal with the possible war it could cause.
 
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