War

This was posted here earlier and posted on twitter this afternoon, make of it what you will, but the purple areas are where the Ukrainians are and the pink the Russians, blue retaken ground. The Russian supplies up north look vulnerable to me, the Russians appear to have many Ukrainians among them north west of Kyiv. I thought this map was interesting and it could indicate things to come.

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https://twitter.com/x/status/1506660525106778120
 
DIY-HP-LED said:
This was posted here earlier and posted on twitter this afternoon, make of it what you will, but the purple areas are where the Ukrainians are and the pink the Russians, blue retaken ground. The Russian supplies up north look vulnerable to me, the Russians appear to have many Ukrainians among them north west of Kyiv. I thought this map was interesting and it could indicate things to come.

View attachment 5106841

https://twitter.com/x/status/1506660525106778120
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There is. Actually there is an area where the Ukrainians can stop reinforcements and supplies coming in. There is one area if they can get to it, they can block 2 roads from the north at the same time.
 
BudmanTX said:
There is. Actually there is an area where the Ukrainians can stop reinforcements and supplies coming in. There is one area if they can get to it, they can block 2 roads from the north at the same time.
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Did you notice all the cut off and isolated Russian forces down on the bottom left of the map? The light pink areas, will be easily meat for the local reservists, the regular army won't need to waste much time on those pockets in hostile country. Cutting them off takes prisoners and they are as good as dead to the Russians and it doesn't kill as many of your troops. If they cut off most of the north western advance far to the north, they will bag many thousands of prisoners at very little cost in ammo or lives. It pays to treat prisoners well, they are common soldiers for the most part and will be a bigger embarrassment to Vlad than the dead.

The Russian have reportedly lost 15,000 dead and two or three times as many wounded mostly combat forces, that's say close to 45,000 men. If they bag 10,000 west of Kyiv it would be catastrophic for the Russians, forces would move to other fronts literally overnight, leaving the prisoners with local reservists who will also do the mopping up. Drive through Kyiv and they are on the eastern front on the other side of the river and going at the Russians strung out there, cutting them off and rolling them up the roads.
 
BudmanTX said:
There is. Actually there is an area where the Ukrainians can stop reinforcements and supplies coming in. There is one area if they can get to it, they can block 2 roads from the north at the same time.
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Zooming in with google earth or bing maps can be instructive for understanding the situation on the ground and the enormity and futility of the Russians task. It is important that the Ukrainians strike before the ground dries and destroy as much as they can, while the Russians are stuck on the roads. They should have enough extra trained forces and modern weapons by now to take the fight to the Russians, they are worn down and chewed up enough now. They can do it Napoleon style, defeat one small army at a time and literally appear on another front over night and overwhelm and destroy another small Russian army. I believe they have been furiously training the troops to do it and the west helping, they have hundreds of thousands of fit motivated volunteers to choose from. They also have over a million or more reservists organized into combat units and stationed locally and could arm many more.
 
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Bet the CIA wants it, they never fired a rocket at it, they wanted it! After the Ukrainians have a look it, it will be shipped to America as a thankyou present. The CIA must be working overtime these days and the lights are on in Langley all night long as they examine the cockroach that is the Russian army squirm in the sunlight.

With the embargos, Vlad will have trouble replacing one of those, they are full of western chips and other components, now very hard and expensive to get.
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Ukraine Captures Russian KRASUKHA-4 | Low Earth Orbit Satellite Destroyer EW

 
Friendly_Grower said:
Ahhhh that felt good! I'd love to have been a fly on that wall when it happened!


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Losing control of their spy satellites at a critical time when the Ukrainians are starting offensive operations, seems more than a coincidence. Coupled with anti drone warfare stuff given to the Ukrainians, it could blind the Russians, no satellite intelligence and no drone intelligence. The Ukrainians would have the element of surprise, something the Russians never had, we appear to know everything they say among themselves in Ukraine. The Ukrainians use secure NATO communications for the important stuff and commercial encrypted radios for other units like reservists.
 
Gen. Petraeus On NATO's ‘Big Response’ To Russia

Former CIA Director General David Petraeus joins Andrea Mitchell to discuss the significance of NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg’s announcement that the alliance will double the number of battle groups on its eastern flank. “It’s very important, because this really reflects NATO's big response to the new dynamic, which is a much more threatening Russia,” says Petraeus. “And moving essentially the front of NATO, the main focus of NATO, all the way out to the Baltic States into the eastern European limits of NATO's borders.”
 
Spring is here and gas sales should drop for the summer, another example of bad timing. gives Europe 6 months for conversion to alternatives like tanker LNG
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Putin makes shock move to punish the West

President Vladimir Putin has appeared on live TV to announce changes to its business dealings with “unfriendly countries”, as a response to unprecedented sanctions over Ukraine.
 
Looks like they drove the Russians back, both on the west and east sides of Kyiv at the same time. It will be out of range except for the biggest rockets, They are expensive and fewer, the launchers are being targeted by drones and some can be intercepted with SAM 3s. Kyiv will soon be wide open and the airports might even be usable by military transports flying real low. Meanwhile the advanced weapons keep pouring in as fast as the Ukrainians can use them to destroy Russian equipment. The Javelins, NLAWs and stingers have a 90% kill rate and they are getting thousands more along with other equipment like ATVs, light vehicles and Trucks to move troops and supplies around, even over some fields where tanks and heavy equipment can't go.

They will run into few ambushes, since they are covered by satellite and drone intelligence. A drone with an infrared camera, when it's cold at night, can see every single soldier on the ground. With NATO equipment, which we sent, the Ukrainians can operate at night, while the Russians sleep. If they can blind or kill their drones too, then they could surprise the Russians.
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Russian army is RETREATING & LOSING CAPTURED GROUND AROUND KYIV, beaten back by Ukrainian shelling


John Sweeney @johnsweeneyroar tweeted on 23 March 2022:
 
Imagine how useful a switchblade drone that glided to it's target and silently took them out at night. They could eliminate all the sentries and outposts almost simultaneously while they waited near by and looked the target over with a drone. Then they move in on the sleeping Russians, or mortar the shit out of them. You might be able to do it by gliding or diving the drone with no power and instead of a bomb, use a super tazer, something that would light the fucker up by shot gunning a dozen wires hooked up to a detachable super tazer, that would break away and keep him lite up, as the drone hit the fucker in the forehead and gave him another dose!
 
6 Russian generals now
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Joy Reid: Putin Is Being Humiliated On The Battlefield In Ukraine

Russian generals warned Vladimir Puting that invading Ukraine would be “pointless and extremely dangerous,” according to a New York Times report. Joy Reid and her panel discuss Putin being humiliated on the battlefield by the super-nimble Ukrainian army.
 
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