War

Roger A. Shrubber

Well-Known Member
Lukashenko is propped up by Putin and when he is weak enough someone will make moves in Belarus, either a coup with the army or revolutionaries trained, armed, financed and injected by Poland and Ukraine. Their first moves would be to cut the rail lines coming from Russia to Belarus and get recognized by Ukraine and Poland. Hopefully Russia will be in such a state of defeat and chaos that it couldn't do much to intervene, Vlad could be busy fighting for his life with a collapsing economy or already dead. Time is on our side and not on Vlad's, every week Russia grows weaker militarily and economically while internal trouble festers, neighbors like Kazakhstan grow bolder and more independent. His entire empire is also now wide open for spying and clandestine sabotage operations by many different countries, who all have a bone to pick with Vlad, or who simply want to weaken Russia. WTF will the place be like in 5 years, if it stays on it's present trajectory?
yeah...but the Ukrainians have limited man power and limited ammunition...we're using them to our own ends, when we could be helping them end this thing a lot faster. more himars, more tanks, more ammunition...can't do much about the attrition to their army, unfortunately
 

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
yeah...but the Ukrainians have limited man power and limited ammunition...we're using them to our own ends, when we could be helping them end this thing a lot faster. more himars, more tanks, more ammunition...can't do much about the attrition to their army, unfortunately
Someone has made the call to go slow and strangle the fucker, we can only guess at the motives, but sparing Vlad's feelings is not one of them. Avoiding nuclear war might be a motive and a long war will destroy his military more completely and make sure Europe ends their dependency on Russian energy. It might hurt Ukraine, but casualties are pretty light for this kind of war, Jesus, when they fought over the same ground in WW2 it was a fucking slaughterhouse compared to this. Ukrainian losses are not that great for a country of 45 million people, the EU and allies are propping up the economy while Russia's goes into the toilet. What will conditions be like in Russia a year into this war? What will they be like in a few more years?

There will be trouble for Vlad in Belarus when the time is right and it would cause him to pull whatever he has left of his army out of Ukraine entirely and head for Belarus, provided much of it isn't trapped in Crimea by a blown bridge at Kerch.
 

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member

First Videos from the Attack on Novofedorivka Air Base (Lots of Damage)
4,054 views Aug 9, 2022 Videos from the attack on Novofedorivka airbase. A car park outside Saky/Saki air base shows damaged cars, plus a destroyed Su-24 fencer.

A short update on the attack on Novofedorivka airbase. So, we now have our first video from the scene and blimey—the damage is immense. And this is just the car park outside—and this amount of damage has been caused. Now, the exact platform used still hasn’t been identified, but it’s clear that Russia’s initial claim that “no airframes” were damaged is absolute tosh. I will let this video play to the end. Then, I will look at where this car park is in relation to the air base.

So—it’s here, not on the air base itself but about 500 meters away. There’s even a car with a steel beam tossed through it.

Now—we have one very short video from the air base itself. This one showing a totally destroyed Su-24 and ground equipment. Which is likely just the tip of the ice berg when it comes to destruction.

Now, there is a third video doing the rounds said to be from the airbase, but on it—the Russians speaking mention being hit at “5 in the morning” which is too early for this, so its likely from another facility targeted.

So—that’s it for now. I expect more videos and photos will trickle out from the scene. But it’s guaranteed, this has hit Russia hard. It could be the biggest single-day loss for Russia in the entire war.
 

Lucky Luke

Well-Known Member
somebody is not paying attention! I plainly stated my cost per kWh. It is nowhere near 15 cents per.

Also, a freezer that burns only 200 kWh/annum will be tiny. Also, as a desert dweller the temperature gradient is rather steeper here than the national average. This has two consequences that stack:
1) reduced thermodynamic efficiency because the condenser side is hot.
2) increased heat flow in watts across the insulation.

Work with the numbers provided! This isn’t our first go-around regarding numeracy.

Why I said we all have different energy plans and yours sounds expensive.
Have you thought about going solar with Lifepo4 batteries or a powerwall type deal?

I don't like math or spelling. Not very good at either.
 
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Roger A. Shrubber

Well-Known Member
i'm imagining at least half of the people in russian jails are there for imagined crimes against the state, sad to see people who aren't really criminals being used as cannon fodder, with no chance of surviving. putin can make any promises he wants, and who's going to make him come through with one red rouble of it?
 

cannabineer

Ursus marijanus
supposedly a false threat...if so, who made it?
https://www.newsweek.com/russian-general-threatens-bomb-nuclear-power-plant-we-warned-you-1732328

counter intelligence is one thing, fabricating bullshit out of whole cloth is a russian trick, best left to them.
It would be a strategic mistake to deliberately contaminate lands that they say are theirs. The sanctions would suddenly be global and airtight. If China and India still play nice with the Russians, suspend trade with them.
 

printer

Well-Known Member
Ukraine Says 9 Russian Warplanes Destroyed in Crimea Blasts
Ukraine's air force said Wednesday that nine Russian warplanes were destroyed in massive explosions at an air base in Crimea amid speculation they were the result of a Ukrainian attack that would represent a significant escalation in the war.

Russia denied any aircraft were damaged in Tuesday's blasts — or that any attack took place.

Ukrainian officials have stopped short of publicly claiming responsibility for the explosions, while poking fun at Russia's explanation that munitions at the Saki air base caught fire and blew up and also underscoring the importance of the peninsula that Moscow annexed eight years ago.

In his nightly video address several hours after the blasts, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy vowed to retake the peninsula, saying that “this Russian war against Ukraine and against all of free Europe began with Crimea and must end with Crimea — its liberation.”

On Wednesday, Russian authorities sought to downplay the blasts, saying all hotels and beaches were unaffected on the peninsula, which is a popular tourist destination for many Russians. The explosions, which killed one person and wounded 13, sent tourists fleeing in panic as plumes of smoke towered over the nearby coastline. They knocked out windows and caused other damage in some apartment buildings.

Russian warplanes have used Saki to strike areas in Ukraine’s south on short notice, and Ukrainian social networks were abuzz with speculation that Ukrainian-fired long-range missiles hit the base.

Officials in Moscow have long warned Ukraine that any attack on Crimea would trigger massive retaliation, including strikes on “decision-making centers” in Kyiv.

A Ukrainian presidential adviser, Oleksiy Arestovych, who is more outspoken than other officials, cryptically said Tuesday that the blasts were caused either by a Ukrainian-made long-range weapon or were the work of guerrillas operating in Crimea.

The base on the Black Sea peninsula that dangles off southern Ukraine is at least 200 kilometers (some 125 miles) away from the closest Ukrainian position — out of the range of the missiles supplied by the U.S. for use in the HIMARS systems.

The Ukrainian military has successfully used those missiles, with a range of 80 kilometers (50 miles), to target ammunition and fuel depots, strategic bridges and other key targets in Russia-occupied territories. HIMARS could also fire longer-range rockets, with a range of up to 300 kilometers (about 185 miles), that Ukraine has asked for.

But U.S. authorities have refrained from providing them thus far, fearing that it could provoke Russia and widen the conflict. But the explosions in Saki raised speculation on social media that Ukraine might have finally got the weapons.

Ukrainian military analyst Oleh Zhdanov said that the Ukrainian forces could have struck the Russian air base with a Ukrainian Neptune anti-ship missile that has a range of about 200 kilometers (about 125 miles) and could have been adapted for use against ground targets and could be fired from Ukrainian positions near Mykolaiv northwest of Crimea.

The Ukrainian military also might have used Western-supplied Harpoon anti-ship missiles that can also be used against ground targets and have a range of about 300 kilometers (about 185 miles), he said.

“Official Kyiv has kept mum about it, but unofficially the military acknowledges that it was a Ukrainian strike,” Zhdanov said.

If Ukrainian forces were, in fact, responsible for the blasts, it would be the first known major attack on a Russian military site in Crimea, which the Kremlin annexed in 2014. A smaller explosion last month at the headquarters of Russia’s Black Sea Fleet in the Crimean port of Sevastopol was blamed on Ukrainian saboteurs using a makeshift drone.

During the war, Russia has reported numerous fires and explosions at munitions storage sites on its territory near the Ukrainian border, blaming some of them on Ukrainian strikes. Ukrainian authorities have mostly remained silent about the incidents.

Meanwhile, Russian shelling hit areas across Ukraine on Tuesday night into Wednesday, including the central region of Dnipropetrovsk, where 13 people were killed and 11 others were wounded, according to the region’s governor Valentyn Reznichenko.

Reznichenko said the Russian forces fired at the city of Marganets and a nearby village. Dozens of residential buildings, two schools and several administrative buildings were damaged by the shelling.

“It was a terrible night,” Reznichenko said. “It's very hard to take bodies from under debris. We are facing a cruel enemy who engage in daily terror against our cities and villages.”

The Russian forces also continued shelling the nearby city of Nikopol across the Dnieper River from the Russia-occupied Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, Europe's largest.

Ukraine and Russia have accused each other of shelling the power station, Europe’s biggest nuclear plant, stoking international fears of a catastrophe.
 
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