War

Of course, they are gonna blow it up, what do you expect?

DIY-HP-LED said:

Of course, they are gonna blow it up, what do you expect?

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1674752475042070529

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I hate to say it, but this is not Kyiv’s first rodeo.

awwww


PMC trolling Russia?

Let's talk about Russia and a general....

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2023/06/27/25-tanks-and-fighting-vehicles-gone-in-a-blink-the-ukrainian-defeat-near-mala-tokmachka-was-worst-than-we-thought/?sh=18a98f267918

You cannot expect to fight a war without losing some men and equipment. Let's see what the next engagement brings.

Roger A. Shrubber said:

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2023/06/27/25-tanks-and-fighting-vehicles-gone-in-a-blink-the-ukrainian-defeat-near-mala-tokmachka-was-worst-than-we-thought/?sh=18a98f267918

You cannot expect to fight a war without losing some men and equipment. Let's see what the next engagement brings.

Click to expand...

It was a botched mission that was preventable. This is not a criticism, just noting that Ukraine paid a high price for repeating a mistake made in past wars. They haven't made the same mistake since. I would hope that the ranking officer who was in charge of this mission was reassigned to less important duties.

$200 billion in frozen Russian assets could help rebuild Ukraine

“THE REVOLT IS NEARING”

Igor Girkin (Strelkov), a nationalist who played a key role in Russia's 2014 invasion of Ukraine , just wrote his 900K Telegram followers something important.

Key parts:

A week since Prigozhin revolted, which shot down 6 aircraft & killed “more than 10 (no one knows for sure) soldiers - no measures have been taken to punish the rebels.”

Rather, Prigozhin travels around and freely enters Russia - and everyone behaves like “this is normal.”

None of the “incompetent or cowardly” government leaders, nor those who ran away when Prigozhin showed-up, have been punished. AND the “President” doesn’t even talk about it.

“The result??

ANOTHER REBELLION IS NOT FAR OFF. WE ONLY NEED TO WAIT FOR ANOTHER DEFEAT AT THE FRONT AND THE REBELLION WILL BEGIN .”

“It does not matter who starts the revolt - NOW NO ONE WILL RESIST AGAINST THE REBELLION. NOBODY AT ALL.

IT MAKES NO SENSE RISKING YOUR LIFE DEFENDING SUCH A USELESS AND MISERABLE GOVERNMENT.”

You cannot save a country whose leaders are so “rotten that they have lost even the elementary instinct of self-preservation. They prefer to do nothing.”

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When well-known, hardline nationalists, who happen to be former intelligence, openly say the situation in Russia is out-of-control:

Things are about to get VERY exciting in Moscow.

I’m increasingly hearing and reading the following comments from Russians in regards to the war in Ukraine:

“The war is wrong, but we cannot allow to lose now. Everything what has been invested in this war would have been lost and it all would have been in vain.”

You know how this is called?

Sunk-cost fallacy

A significant part of Russians have now subscribed to a nation-wide experiment, in (false) hopes that the continuation of the war will yield something to a point which would be better than before, despite seeing evidence for the exact opposite. The Russian high-water mark in this war was early March 2022. Ever since this point Russia lost literally according all possible metrics. Let’s just go through some of them:

- less net-controlled territory
- humiliating defeats in Kherson and Kharkiv
- much more destruction
- 150.000 more Russian casualties
- the modern Russian army gear almost entirely destroyed
- cities in ruins, even in Russia
- emboldened and unified Ukraine and West
- Russia’s stance in the world considerably diminished
- open rebellion by Wagner and incursions by Russian rebels
- large economic projects such as Nordstream destroyed

Etc. I could go on and on. You will not find a single aspect which was in better shape for Russia after March 2022. Every further “investment” in this lost cause just increased problems and it will increase the bill Russia has to pay after the war, which is certain.

The sunk-cost fallacy is the death trap for every dictatorship, cult or doomed company. Instead admitting to have drawn the wrong conclusions, change directions and write off the mistakes, failed leader such as Putin double down on stupid and hope that perceived strength is just as good as real strength. But even children learn sooner rather than later that closing your own eyes does not make the inconvenient aspects of life disappear. Facts have the inconvenient behavior to ignore your wishful thinking and come back, twice as strong than before. Seeing some ordinary Russians falling for this is not surprising, but when the whole Russian ship goes down like the Moskva then many Russians will have only one question left:

“How we couldn’t have seen that?”

Well, because you chose to.

Counter battery radars and drones reduce the number of barrels and missile strikes take care of their ammo and logistics to the front lines. Drones and mortars can reduce the trenches in front of the mine fields allowing them to be cleared by sappers. Not being pounded by artillery when you are doing this shit helps a lot and the Ukrainians with 155mm guns can outrange the Russians with more accurate fire at extreme ranges.

Update from Ukraine | How the Counterattack is ongoing? Why is it slow? Can Ukraine win?