Bountiful Precipitation and Full Reservoirs in California

tangerinegreen555

tangerinegreen555

Well-Known Member
squarepush3r said:
Great news everyone!!

https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2019/04/bountiful-precipitation-and-full.html

It was not that long ago, that some folks were wringing their hands about drought in California, claiming that normal rains were a thing of the past. The NY Times and other outlets warned of "permanent" and "unending" drought fueled by global warming.




2013-2015 were dry years, but 2017 was extremely wet, 2018 was near normal, and 2019 is turning out to be a real soaker. The official U.S. Drought Monitor, which often lags behind facts on the ground, officially removed drought status from California this winter.

This winter, the water situation is extraordinarily good for virtually all of California, with their very large reservoir system storing much more water than normal. Let's examine the situation.

Here is the difference from normal of the accumulated precipitation over the past six months. Nearly the entire southwest U.S. was above normal, with parts of California being 8-20 inches above normal...that is a lot in California.



Water storage is everything in California, and unlike Washington State, they have multi-year storage capacity. Why? Because historically California experiences more variation between wet and dry years than the more reliably wet Pacific Northwest.

The current reservoir conditions are excellent, with all of the major reservoirs being well above normal. Some are even near capacity (e.g., San Luis and Lake Shasta).



The other major water storage system is the snowpack....and CA has a HUGE snowpack this year, averaging about 165% of normal (see below).



Streamflow? No worries. Streams are running much above normal or high over the northern portion of the state ( blue and black colors) and near normal over most of the southern half.



Surface soil moisture is above normal for most of the state (not shown).

The bottom line of all this is that California has had an extraordinarily moist winter (and a very wet March) and there will be plenty of water for the urban centers and agriculture this year.

To put things in perspective, below is the California precipitation for November-February 1920-2019 using the NOAA/NWS climate division dataset. March 2010 was not ready yet.

The first thing you notice is that there is virtually no long-term trend. Nada. There are drier years (like 2013-2015) and wetter periods. 2019 was above normal but not exceptional. If March was available, the current winter would have been one of the wetter ones.



This lack of trend in CA winter precipitation is consistent with most climate models simulations I have seen, which suggest no decline in precipitation for central and northern CA under global warming (see a sample from the UW high-resolution climate simulation project I am involved with). In fact, precipitation over the northern portion of CA might even increase.

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Bugeye said:
Yes, very good news. Prayers have been answered.
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Why don't you two dimwits build an arc, load up all the wing nuts, and head out to sea.

Clean up the fucking plastic floating around out there, do something for your planet instead of pretending everything is fine.

Make the ocean great again.
 
hotrodharley

hotrodharley

Well-Known Member
@squarepush3r is a fucking ill-informed fuckwad. Very dry winter here with the warmest March in history. The Kuskokwim River at Bethel AK is ice free a full month ahead of any known time including with the Natives. 10% RH humidity right now with winds pushing wildfires here. The cold weather went south this year. 72 at the North Pole in March. Climate change is real and only fucking trolls or total retards deny it.
 
hotrodharley

hotrodharley

Well-Known Member
The Nenana Ice Classic. 103 years. The earliest it’s ever gone out was April 20 twice. Usually mid-May. This year? April 13. So far only 1 ticket with a pool of $300,000+. I guessed the 12th and the 13th but during the early afternoon. The ice went out at midnight. Unheard of.
 
Fogdog

Fogdog

Well-Known Member
hotrodharley said:
The Nenana Ice Classic. 103 years. The earliest it’s ever gone out was April 20 twice. Usually mid-May. This year? April 13. So far only 1 ticket with a pool of $300,000+. I guessed the 12th and the 13th but during the early afternoon. The ice went out at midnight. Unheard of.
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The extinction event that Republicans are pointing the world into is going to be a disaster that will take millions of years to recover from.even if it takes out humans along with it;
 
hotrodharley

hotrodharley

Well-Known Member
We count on ice roads here to move extremely heavy loads like oil drilling rigs to locations like the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge. During the government shutdown the Trump administration continued to issue leases and permits there. Why? Because the ice on the rivers was at a record for being thin. 25” instead of 50”. By March it was too dangerous as even dog sleds were diverted in spots. This is the Yukon River we’re talking about.

The drilling at the ANWR is off until maybe next winter.
 
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squarepush3r

squarepush3r

Well-Known Member
hotrodharley said:
@squarepush3r is a fucking ill-informed fuckwad. Very dry winter here with the warmest March in history. The Kuskokwim River at Bethel AK is ice free a full month ahead of any known time including with the Natives. 10% RH humidity right now with winds pushing wildfires here. The cold weather went south this year. 72 at the North Pole in March. Climate change is real and only fucking trolls or total retards deny it.
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lol dummy. This is Earth Day 2019 in Anchorage


Right now there is more Northern Hemisphere ice than in 2005
 
squarepush3r

squarepush3r

Well-Known Member
hotrodharley said:
I live in Alaska, you stupid fuck. What a simple fucking dipshit you are. Perfect “conservative” saving on brains.
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Then you would have known it was blizzarding last week on Earth Day!

https://www.ktva.com/story/40346939/5-things-you-thought-you-knew-about-snow

Anchorage is experiencing another day of wintry weather this week. With measurable snowfall already exceeding an inch, this is the snowiest April Anchorage has seen in five years.



Month to date, 5.2 inches of snow has been measured officially at the National Weather Service Office in Anchorage. That exceeds the monthly average by more than an inch and is the most snow Anchorage has measured in April since 2013.
 
hotrodharley

hotrodharley

Well-Known Member
hotrodharley

hotrodharley

Well-Known Member
squarepush3r said:
Then you would have known it was blizzarding last week on Earth Day!

https://www.ktva.com/story/40346939/5-things-you-thought-you-knew-about-snow

Anchorage is experiencing another day of wintry weather this week. With measurable snowfall already exceeding an inch, this is the snowiest April Anchorage has seen in five years.



Month to date, 5.2 inches of snow has been measured officially at the National Weather Service Office in Anchorage. That exceeds the monthly average by more than an inch and is the most snow Anchorage has measured in April since 2013.
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Most snow in 6 years. And in those 6 years it’s been warm and dry, fuckwad.
 
squarepush3r

squarepush3r

Well-Known Member
hotrodharley said:
https://www.ktva.com/story/40161416/winter-ends-with-record-warmth-across-alaska

“March 19 marks the last full day of the 2018-2019 winter season. As the season of extremes comes to a close, it is only fitting that it ends with a round of record-setting high temperatures. Parts of Southeast Alaska will soar to mid-summer levels of warmth with enough sunshine to warrant sunglasses and a thick layer of sunscreen.”

@squarepush3r is a fuckwad ignoramus.
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And over a month later its blizzarding! Do blizzards happen in warm or cold weather? asking for a friend.
 
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