Ernst
Well-Known Member
I just came back from dinner. I thought to add some food for thought:
The worst thing the Anti-Cannabis people can do now is to support full legalization in 2012 however, given the current deflation we would be better off doing the Legalization in 2012 too because the market will stabilize after that.
I assume that is why the Lee group thinks 2016 or 2014 is the answer.. Well it might be if the people get no rights when they offer us an initiative.. Other wise granting rights in 2014 or 2016 could send the market back down just when everyone else is recovering.
With the potential decline in punishment for cultivation I can see that the "winds of change" are blowing against profiting at inflated cannabis prices.. I assume a lot more folks will not fear being busted for first time grow ops once it is probation or a year in county.
I Say best to take the punch in the gut bravely, Legalize for the people.. Level the playing field and we all will be in the same boat on the rebound of cannabis prices some where around 2015. Give or take a year, if we legalize..
Again I'll point out that it's very risky to add suppliers to the cannabis market in the middle of a rebound. Best to Legalize in 2012.. Trying to accommodate a whole new wave of producers in 2014 or 2016 will not be good for prices if we wait for 2014 or 2016.. Best to get them legalized now and let the deflation cycle do it's worst.
So, What can you add Matt?
I had a wonderful Italian meal. Sadly all I want to do now is watch T.V.
I'll check back tomorrow.
Ernst
The worst thing the Anti-Cannabis people can do now is to support full legalization in 2012 however, given the current deflation we would be better off doing the Legalization in 2012 too because the market will stabilize after that.
I assume that is why the Lee group thinks 2016 or 2014 is the answer.. Well it might be if the people get no rights when they offer us an initiative.. Other wise granting rights in 2014 or 2016 could send the market back down just when everyone else is recovering.
With the potential decline in punishment for cultivation I can see that the "winds of change" are blowing against profiting at inflated cannabis prices.. I assume a lot more folks will not fear being busted for first time grow ops once it is probation or a year in county.
I Say best to take the punch in the gut bravely, Legalize for the people.. Level the playing field and we all will be in the same boat on the rebound of cannabis prices some where around 2015. Give or take a year, if we legalize..
Again I'll point out that it's very risky to add suppliers to the cannabis market in the middle of a rebound. Best to Legalize in 2012.. Trying to accommodate a whole new wave of producers in 2014 or 2016 will not be good for prices if we wait for 2014 or 2016.. Best to get them legalized now and let the deflation cycle do it's worst.
So, What can you add Matt?
I had a wonderful Italian meal. Sadly all I want to do now is watch T.V.
I'll check back tomorrow.
Ernst