War

BudmanTX

Well-Known Member

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
This is pro Ukrainian propaganda/news, I have found them be credible and the Ukrainians tend not to lie outright, they have the press with them and they are everywhere now. Besides, they don't need to lie about how bad Vlad and his troops are, the facts speak for themselves.

Seems they are infiltrating troops into Mariupol according to this, they can operate at night, the Russians generally can't. If they came, they must have brought ammo for the others and since they evacuated the wounded, they had transport of some kind. Those guys who went in had real big balls, they are gonna stay there too.

Ukrainian Forces BROKE THROUGH Russians to Join 'Azov Regiment'

 
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BudmanTX

Well-Known Member
This is pro Ukrainian propaganda/news, I have found them be credible and the Ukrainians tend not to lie outright, they have the press with them and they are everywhere now. Besides, they don't need to lie about how bad Vlad and his troops are, the facts speak for themselves.

Seems they are infiltrating troops into Mariupol according to his, they can operate at night, the Russians generally can't. If they came, they must have brought ammo for the others and since they evacuated the wounded, they had transport of some kind. Those guys who went in had real big balls, they are gonna stay there too.

Ukrainian Forces BROKE THROUGH Russians to Join 'Azov Regiment'

yeah i found a couple of reports that said reinforcements got there.....good..now they can prolly push back....
 

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
Looks like the Russians might be having trouble getting reserves, perhaps 2 liters of Vodka and waking up in the back of an army truck with a hangover wasn't such a great recruiting tool!

Many in the army are young, most under 30 and only the ones sent to Ukraine had their phones taken away. Just one guy in a unit who had a friend send him videos, news etc, will share it with his buddies in the unit. Every soldier becomes keenly interested in where he might be sent to fight and will look for all the info he can find on the situation there. Some might even want to know exactly what they are fighting for and why. They have access to western Russian language news and especially videos of burned out equipment and those advanced weapons that NATO is sending.

Phones make it easy for soldiers to share news and information and those based in Russia, still have their phones and most are young enough to know how to use them and have friends who have access outside news using a VPN, then passing it around, even as compressed encrypted zip files, if need be. This could be a sign of that.
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Military mobilization in Russia is failing: military defeats and demoralized personnel

 

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
yeah i found a couple of reports that said reinforcements got there.....good..now they can prolly push back....
Probably hold the line for now. I expect the Ukrainians will attack them in unexpected places, like the south, let them advance in the east while destroying them en route. If the roads in the east aren't lined with IEDs that would make you shit from a mile away, someone ain't doing their jobs! They know where they will be and have for awhile, not preparing the ground for their welcome would be unthinkable. Once they kill off a bunch on advance, they will counter attack, then reservist engineers will bury more IED's under the burned out junk littering the road and they will retreat again and repeat the process while hammering the shit out of them on the roads (which they have zeroed in already) with artillery.

At this point Ukraine has a huge army and reserve, after the Russians have spent themselves in the east, I expect we will see more counter attacks, only a fraction of their manpower is in the east. They will trade territory for Russian blood for awhile longer, heavy equipment is pouring in and will be for a month or two, they don't need to win costly defensive battles, but continue a war of maneuver.
 

printer

Well-Known Member
A thousand-mile orbit is stable for centuries. It views a lot of terrain. The rod needs a delta vee of maybe a mile per second to deorbit and achieve considerable cross-range. The problem is that the carrier is likely not very stealthy.
Maybe did not make my point clearly. The lower Earth orbits require the occasional top-up of speed due to the drag of trace atmosphere. The higher orbits are stable as there is little drag. But to change from one orbit to another requires energy to be used. One can not just 'drop' an object out of orbit, it has to get pushed out. A mile per second is 3600 miles per hour. The energy to move a ton of mass by 3600 miles an hour is not 'dropping' it out of orbit.


Mate, I need some of your smoking....js
Was late in the evening self medication time. I am getting a little disappointed as my vaporizer does not give me the effect of smoking the material, sort of stone-lite. But if I smoke or vape enough to have fun I end up with a weed hangover the next day. I don't know if it is the strains I am smoking or if it is my medication altering my response to the weed. Next run I might try a mixed bag of strains and then try them to find out if it is me or them.
 

BudmanTX

Well-Known Member
Maybe did not make my point clearly. The lower Earth orbits require the occasional top-up of speed due to the drag of trace atmosphere. The higher orbits are stable as there is little drag. But to change from one orbit to another requires energy to be used. One can not just 'drop' an object out of orbit, it has to get pushed out. A mile per second is 3600 miles per hour. The energy to move a ton of mass by 3600 miles an hour is not 'dropping' it out of orbit.



Was late in the evening self medication time. I am getting a little disappointed as my vaporizer does not give me the effect of smoking the material, sort of stone-lite. But if I smoke or vape enough to have fun I end up with a weed hangover the next day. I don't know if it is the strains I am smoking or if it is my medication altering my response to the weed. Next run I might try a mixed bag of strains and then try them to find out if it is me or them.
i was kinda wondering man, cause i was looking at that during my self medication time as well.....i was like dude, i want what your having......lol

i did kinda understood what you meant though
 

BudmanTX

Well-Known Member
Probably hold the line for now. I expect the Ukrainians will attack them in unexpected places, like the south, let them advance in the east while destroying them en route. If the roads in the east aren't lined with IEDs that would make you shit from a mile away, someone ain't doing their jobs! They know where they will be and have for awhile, not preparing the ground for their welcome would be unthinkable. Once they kill off a bunch on advance, they will counter attack, then reservist engineers will bury more IED's under the burned out junk littering the road and they will retreat again and repeat the process while hammering the shit out of them on the roads (which they have zeroed in already) with artillery.

At this point Ukraine has a huge army and reserve, after the Russians have spent themselves in the east, I expect we will see more counter attacks, only a fraction of their manpower is in the east. They will trade territory for Russian blood for awhile longer, heavy equipment is pouring in and will be for a month or two, they don't need to win costly defensive battles, but continue a war of maneuver.
i'm just glad they got reinforced, now they have ammo, more weapons, and food....so they should be good to hold out and maybe break the siege...
 

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
yeah i found a couple of reports that said reinforcements got there.....good..now they can prolly push back....
I'm wondering if they used switchblades and sniper rifles to break in during the night, using night vision equipment and blacked out vehicles. If they knew where all the Russian defensive positions were using a drone with night vision, they could destroy them on a route into the city in advance. Taking out fighting positions and sentries with switchblade 300s and 600's to destroy the tanks with some help sowing havoc from some commercial drones taking out parked tanks as a diversion. Most of the Russians sleep at night and if it's cloudy or no moon, operating at night offensively gives you a big advantage and a night vision scope with a .50 cal and a silencer makes quick work of sentries.
 

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
i'm just glad they got reinforced, now they have ammo, more weapons, and food....so they should be good to hold out and maybe break the siege...
If they supplied them, I think the plan might be to relieve them, it is in the east and the Ukrainians can't cram all their manpower into the northeast and some of them might go south. For now they might be held in reserve until the Russians advancing from the north are defeated or close, then they might strike Mariupol and Kherson too, it's closer to resupply for the Ukrainians. Owning the night means they can attack at night and there is lot's of night vision stuff being sent, not just by America either. We don't hear much about night operations or many details, even after the fact, or of other things, the stories will come out after the war.
 
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BudmanTX

Well-Known Member
I'm wondering if they used switchblades and sniper rifles to break in during the night, using night vision equipment and blacked out vehicles. If they knew where all the Russian defensive positions were using a drone with night vision, they could destroy them on a route into the city in advance. Taking out fighting positions and sentries with switchblade 300s and 600's to destroy the tanks with some help sowing havoc from some commercial drones taking out parked tanks as a diversion. Most of the Russians sleep at night and if it's cloudy or no moon, operating at night offensively gives you a big advantage and a night vision scope with a .50 cal and a silencer makes quick work of sentries.
got me on that one mate.....it's is possible though..
 

BudmanTX

Well-Known Member
If they supplied them, I think the plan might be to relieve them, it is in the east and the Ukrainians can't cram all their manpower into the northeast and some of them might go south. For now they might be held in reserve until the Russians advancing from the north are defeated or close, then they might strike Mariupol and Kherson too, it's closer to resupply for the Ukrainians. Owning the night means they can attack at night and there is lot's of night vision stuff being sent, not just by America either. We don't hear much about night operations or many details, even after the fact, of other things, the stories will come out after the war.
Kherson is already being contested, all eye right now are on Izium just south of Karkiv and the towns along that road...think they need to put artillery NE of that area......
 

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
got me on that one mate.....it's is possible though..
They are getting lot's of them, not just from America, the UK is sending them too, they and Turkey make them under license and generally don't say much about what they are sending. If you think about it though, switchblades and night vision give the Ukrainians a big edge in special operations and in offensive operations too. So do all the high quality drones they are receiving who can also operate at night and they can tell you where the weak points and holes are in their lines. Nobody can ambush them in the night because they can see their path ahead with a thermal camera and daylight images too.
 

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
Kherson is already being contested, all eye right now are on Izium just south of Karkiv and the towns along that road...think they need to put artillery NE of that area......
That is where I think they are making tactical fighting withdrawals, they need to lure them from their supply bases. Right now the Russians are trying to take bite sized chunks in the east by surrounding them, mostly in open country. A lot will depend on the weather too and how muddy the ground is and if the Russians can get off the roads. Generally the further south, the drier the ground is, but so far the Ukrainians have been able to maneuver and the Russians have proven bad at it.
 
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