He makes some good points but I don't agree with his analysis of the situation Ukraine has a population of 45 million, population of Russia is 144 million and it is demographically old. It has 3 times the population, not that large a difference, Russia used to have an economy the size of Italy's but it has been or soon will be chopped in half. In addition it is under sanction and many vital parts for cars and infrastructure cannot be obtained and the banking system is near in collapse.
The Ukrainians already have a half million men under arms plus reserves and they are training new units weekly from recruits, In a month they will be much stronger than they are today. They are taking the fight to the Russians now and will be stronger in another month and can make some serious gains, when they get more operational flexibility with more soldiers.
We have yet to see the effects of new weapons and the Ukrainians need a way to interdict the Russian logistics behind their lines on the roads and in the supply dumps. Drones might do it and infiltrating troops will do it too, but they must find ways of cutting off Russians over extended on the roads to make rapid progress with minimal casualties. With there advantages in night vision equipment and drones they might be able to pull it off. The long range artillery they are getting from NATO now can be useful for this too, NATO already trained them on how to use it and are training more now. A drone spots it and calls down fire on the target from artillery many miles away.
If they want tanks, eastern European countries should have a few soviet ones kicking around, they seem to have lots of other soviet shit like AKs, RPGs and mortars, so artillery pieces, rocket launchers and tanks ain't a reach. It can be replaced by new stuff from Uncle Sam, the EU and Sweden, why not, the Russians will pay for it in the end. Since Russia is so weak, they can afford to give shit up temporarily, every tank the Ukrainians destroy is one less coming at NATO anyway. The Ukrainians appear to be making efficient use of the modern anti tank weapons, I've heard no complaints about wastage!
I think the Ukrainians will drive Vlad out of Ukraine completely by summer, Vlad can't get enough people into the field of battle in time. The Ukrainians simply have more soldiers or will, with western support their combat power has been multiplied to a nation several times their size. The Ukrainians need this war over ASAP and need to destroy as much of the Russian army as they can while they are still stuck on the roads.
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What can we learn from the first six weeks into the Russian invasion of Ukraine? | DW News