Obama now stands at 83.7 % to win the election

k0ijn

Scientia Cannabis
It's to tight to claim those numbers... and look where that info. comes from.
The information comes from Rasmussen, Reuters, PPP etc. I don't follow your train of thought.
How are they untrustworthy?

You are pulling at straws.

It's a wide collection of 22 different polls from different sources.
Obama led 19 out of 22 (2 tie and Romney only led in one).
 

Ringsixty

Well-Known Member
It doesn't matter much who wins. The American people will complain and adjust. This is how it has always been.
Good luck to your guy Obama.
 

FlyLikeAnEagle

Well-Known Member
It's to tight to claim those numbers... and look where that info. comes from.

It comes from Nate Silver, a top statistician who in the 2008 election correctly predicted 49 out of the 50 states and was also named by Time magazine one of the top 100 most influential people on the planet. Yea, a real loser.

Read this article about his analysis of the election and come back and tell me what you disagree with.
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/03/nov-2-for-romney-to-win-state-polls-must-be-statistically-biased/
 

Ringsixty

Well-Known Member
The information comes from Rasmussen, Reuters, PPP etc. I don't follow your train of thought.
How are they untrustworthy?

You are pulling at straws.

It's a wide collection of 22 different polls from different sources.
Obama led 19 out of 22 (2 tie and Romney only led in one).
One day Obama is up, The next Romney is up.
Who is really the winner?
How about we see after Nov.6th. Then we will really see.
 

UncleBuck

Well-Known Member
One day Obama is up, The next Romney is up.
Who is really the winner?
How about we see after Nov.6th. Then we will really see.
romney has never been up in the electoral college math.

if there were more time to go and the numbers were the exact same, it would be closer to a 60/40 or a 65/35, but with such little time to go the percentages diverge more dramatically.
 

Red1966

Well-Known Member
The information comes from Rasmussen, Reuters, PPP etc. I don't follow your train of thought.
How are they untrustworthy?

You are pulling at straws.

It's a wide collection of 22 different polls from different sources.
Obama led 19 out of 22 (2 tie and Romney only led in one).
You're claiming an odds maker's opinion, NOT Rasmussen, Reuters, PPP etc. as factual evidence. All of those polls say the "undicided" vote is more than enough to give the election to either candidate. I don't believe anyone can say with any degree of certainty who will win. For every "expert" opinion one way, an "expert" opinion can be found the other.
 

UncleBuck

Well-Known Member
You're claiming an odds maker's opinion, NOT Rasmussen, Reuters, PPP etc. as factual evidence. All of those polls say the "undicided" vote is more than enough to give the election to either candidate. I don't believe anyone can say with any degree of certainty who will win. For every "expert" opinion one way, an "expert" opinion can be found the other.
nate silver is not an odds maker, silly goose. he is a statistician. and he is not simply crunching the poll numbers, he is also accounting for state fundamentals, the state of the economy, and other variables.

he called it almost perfectly last time, too.

and by the way, there is no expert saying that romney has a clear path to electoral victory.

nice try there, stormfront red. prepare to cry in your cornflakes comes tuesday.
 

londonfog

Well-Known Member
Without Ohio Romney path is very difficult if at all possible... Does not look good for Romney in Ohio
 
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