Well just as reference, I tested my 2 lights. I typically run them with a 240mm fan http://www.amazon.com/Cooler-Master-MegaFlow-200-Computer/dp/B008G3OLRQ/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1447008745&sr=8-1&keywords=240mm fan and they stay cool to the touch. They are 18x10 (10" profile) from HeatsinkUSA with 4x CXB3070 cob pushed @ 50w each (200w total). While I understand the requirements for passive, I wanted to see how hot it would really get.
After leaving them on for about 30 minutes (no more rise), the light with the fan off got quite hot. The heatsink in the center (furthest point but equal from all 4 COBS) was getting up to 43c while the one with the fan running was sitting at 29c.
as a passive fail safe condition 43c is pretty good.