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  1. Heisenberg

    Is the World Flat? The Flatlander's theory..

    For the sake of clarity, would you mind if we focus on the availability heuristic and hash out the wason selection task sometime after. I have no intention of dodging that subject. Lets look at another example of the availability heuristic. This is one taught to students as an example of the...
  2. Heisenberg

    Is the World Flat? The Flatlander's theory..

    I was exposed to them in the same way, but you can still use them to experience the phenomenon. Another way is to experience stroop interference.
  3. Heisenberg

    Is the World Flat? The Flatlander's theory..

    Yep. They're not hard to answer, given the chance. But when we add a clock and give students only one minute per problem, we get these results. "MIT students average a little over 2 questions right, and the full sample in the study, consisting mostly of college students, averaged a little...
  4. Heisenberg

    Is the World Flat? The Flatlander's theory..

    Want to see other examples where intuitive thinking interferes with analytical thinking? Here are four questions, none of which are difficult to answer. The point is that your brain will supply you with a knee-jerk intuitive answer that upon further reflection will turn out to be wrong. (of...
  5. Heisenberg

    Is the World Flat? The Flatlander's theory..

    . Well, if you flip over the A and find anything other than a 7, you've falsified the statement, your job is done. If you flip over the A and do find a 7, you've merely confirmed the statement and you're job isn't done. You're job is to falsify. The '4' card is another chance to falsify, as...
  6. Heisenberg

    Is the World Flat? The Flatlander's theory..

    The question was "Which card(s) must you turn over to determine whether the statement is false?" If we turn over the A and find anything other than a 7, the premise is falsified. However, you are asked which cards to turn over given the information presented, rather than turn one over and then...
  7. Heisenberg

    Is the World Flat? The Flatlander's theory..

    Yes, we turn over A and 4. If the 4 has an A on it, it falsifies the statement we want to test: "If a card has an "A" on one side it will have a "7" on the other side." If a card has A on one side and a 4 on the other side, the statement is false.
  8. Heisenberg

    Is the World Flat? The Flatlander's theory..

    Which bias are you referring to? My point was that I am not saying the answer was wrong because you are (apparently) a girl or because of your previous comments. It's because I believe the availability heuristic is the more precise answer, and I think I've given objective reasons as to why...
  9. Heisenberg

    Is the World Flat? The Flatlander's theory..

    You wouldn't have to read my mind, just my original post. The statement is there in full. https://www.rollitup.org/t/is-the-world-flat-the-flatlanders-theory.895220/page-188#post-12667233
  10. Heisenberg

    Is the World Flat? The Flatlander's theory..

    You can check my facebook post(s) of this meme, in which I say from the start that it isn't confirmation bias. While it may certainly be true that I am mistaken, it's not due to any sort of personal prejudice of those giving the answer...
  11. Heisenberg

    Is the World Flat? The Flatlander's theory..

    I was speaking in shortcuts. The statement was "If a card has an "A" on one side it will have a "7" on the other side." This I subsequently condensed down to "If A then 7," which was perhaps misleading, but unintentional. If we turn over the 4 and see an A, it would mean the statement is...
  12. Heisenberg

    Is the World Flat? The Flatlander's theory..

    Let's look at the definition of confirmation bias. "Confirmation bias, also called confirmatory bias or myside bias, is the tendency to search for, interpret, favor, and recall information in a way that confirms one's preexisting beliefs or hypotheses, while giving disproportionately less...
  13. Heisenberg

    Is the World Flat? The Flatlander's theory..

    It's important not to confuse logical fallacies with cognitive biases. One big difference is that logic errors can be completely avoided if we are vigilant and practiced, while cognitive biases can only be mitigated to various degrees. Still, it is certainly true that categories are always...
  14. Heisenberg

    Is the World Flat? The Flatlander's theory..

    It's hard to say without knowing more about you. It sounds like it could be the Dunning-Kruger effect. People who are incompetent, and those who are highly competent, both tend to rate themselves closer to average than they deserve. Incompetent people tend to be arrogant and overly confident...
  15. Heisenberg

    Is the World Flat? The Flatlander's theory..

    Confirmation bias involves an active pursuit for truth/accuracy. So, if we already thought that there was a killer outside, the noise could serve to confirm our idea. However, in my example the noise itself gave rise to the idea. We were biased in our idea, but it wasn't confirmation bias...
  16. Heisenberg

    Is the World Flat? The Flatlander's theory..

    Hehe, nope. Biases affect the dumb and the brilliant alike. They are an integral part of the architecture of our thinking, and we can never exile them. If you were not compelled to check the '7' card, it may indicate that you tend to think analytically rather than intuitively. So, it means...
  17. Heisenberg

    Is the World Flat? The Flatlander's theory..

    Close but no cigar... Confirmation bias refers to our tendency to pay attention to information which confirms our ideas rather than information that falsifies them. Here is an example: (EDIT: an example of confirmation bias) First look at this picture. These are four cards. Each card will...
  18. Heisenberg

    Is the World Flat? The Flatlander's theory..

    Name that cognitive error.
  19. Heisenberg

    Is the World Flat? The Flatlander's theory..

    "A point refuted a thousand times, commonly abbreviated as PRATT, refers to a point or argument that has literally been refuted so many times that it is not worth bothering with. It is a common phrase on Internet forums — as debates have a tendency to go in circles. Once people have refuted a...
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