at first i thought he was crazy, but more than one russian ex official has said that they think the oligarchs have been stealing money for years, and filing false reports to their superiors about where the money went...it is quite possible he has been mislead and thought he had a much larger, better trained force than he actually has. he may have actually expected his army to march in and capture the whole country in a few days, but his whole army is using worn out vehicles, riding on worn out tires, is made up mostly of conscripts, and who knows, maybe one of the reasons he isn't flying many missions is that they discovered that their air force isn't in any better shape?
i do know he looks decidedly unhappy lately, not the expression of someone who has the world by the balls...