st0wandgrow
Well-Known Member
It's less of a certainty, and more of a logical conclusion based on a few factors...Americans have been that retarded before. What's changed? Your certainty that this is a winning issue is based on what?
The AHCA. It's enjoying a roughly 17% approval rating right now. This low approval rating is based on people not wanting Medicaid slashed (gov't funded health coverage), and pre-existing condition coverage rolled back (gov't subsidized health coverage). If this shit-sandwich becomes law people will be looking for a drastic replacement.
Obamacare. People have grown to like it, and don't want it repealed for something inferior. It has become an entitlement, a lot like social security and medicare, and history has shown that Americans have been very reluctant to give up an entitlement once it has been given to them. I was very lukewarm towards Obamacare when it first passed thinking it didn't go far enough. Looking back now, I think it was the right move. It was an important step towards single payer (Obama said as much)
The timing. We are having a public conversation about health care right now. People are engaged, and are generally worried about the issue and how it will affect their finances. I believe people would be receptive to a program that would cover everyone at a fraction of the cost of our current system.
Bernie. He does a good job breaking down the numbers and helping people make sense of it. He's also a fighter who will do what he feels is right for people no matter the political capital spent. Someone has to lead the charge, and when that someone is the most popular politician in the country hurdles can be cleared.
Of course I can't be 100% certain of a single payer system becoming law any time soon, but if the dems (especially progressive ones) take back the house in 18 I think the ball will start moving towards single payer. It could be a referendum issue in the 2020 general election.