Well fogdog if you want me to do the research for you,,,a person here was boasting the polls,,, so lets look at how accurate,they are,,,oh not looking good
http://www.may2015.com/featured/election-2015-how-accurate-have-eve-of-election-polls-been-in-the-past/
NY Times
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/21/opinion/sunday/whats-the-matter-with-polling.html?_r=0
Wall street Journal,,,why political polls are often wrong
http://www.wsj.com/articles/why-political-polls-are-so-often-wrong-1447285797
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how accurate have polls been threw 2015
Now were is the proof that they are correct,,,as the person who was claiming 94% of black votes,,, will not go to Trump on account of polls,,,,,,,I said the polls have not been really accurate which is my opinion ,,,,But there are facts to back that statement ,,for either side as there always is,,,I am sure you can research ,,and find info that goes either way,,,you can on any subject,,,As for my earlier statement I do retain the right to have a opinion ,,I did not stand at a hill top and say my opinion is fact,,,,,,But you seem to miss that part of it,,,I did post that video that shows simple and critical thinking and the right to change your mind when presented with facts that may be different then your original view,,,,My point in posting it was not to belittle or stop anyone from having there own opinion or view ,,,we all retain that right ,,My point was why put faith or so much faith in polls that provide no fact,,,and have proved to be wrong as much as right,,,people get fighting mad and neither really has fact to base on,,,,,as it is all speculation,,,as there has been no one to vote yet,,so any poll or suggested number is is a WAG "wild arse guess"